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Greetings Gamers! We have another Coors Field Extravaganza as well as some other juicy hitting matchups. Let’s get to the good stuff!
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Main Slate
Minnesota Twins vs. RHP Reynaldo Lopez – 6.0 implied runs
In his last two starts, RHP Reynaldo Lopez has a one-run complete game in Cleveland. Which he followed up by allowing four home runs to Kansas City. It has been that kind of a season. This year Lopez is seventh with 31 home runs allowed and he is ninth with 56 since the beginning of last year.
This will be the third time Lopez has faced the Twins and they have had his number so far. Nelson Cruz received Sunday off and he is our primary target. We can then look to Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Miguel Sano and C.J. Cron who all do well against righties. If in the lineup, Mitch Garver is always in play and we can differentiate with Jonathan Schoop, Jorge Polanco and Luis Arraez. Fortunately the sites have boosted the salaries, so we will have some tough choices with Coors Field also on the slate.
Coors Field Extravaganza – 13.5 implied runs
The Rockies will be facing LHP Steven Matz with a host of righties at the ready. In his last nine starts, Matz has allowed just four home runs and compiled a 2.32 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with nearly a strikeout per inning. He has been decent with a .315 wOBA and .194 ISO with a 23.6 K% across his last 1,024 lefty/righty matchups. Since the beginning of last season, both Trevor Story and Nolan Arenado have a .400 ISO against southpaws at home. If you are looking for a full-stack mix in Ian Desmond, Garrett Hampson and Charlie Blackmon. It is also worth noting that while with the Nationals, Daniel Murphy DESTROYED his former team. We will have to see if that continues two teams removed.
The visiting Metropolitans get a great matchup with RHP Antonio Senzatela who has allowed 39 runs over his last seven starts. Interestingly enough he has coughed up only four round-trippers in that stretch. Senzatela has a solid 52 GB% since the beginning of last season, but he walks too many and doesn’t strike out enough. Peter Alonso, Michael Conforto and Jeff McNeil are the trio to target. The secondary options are J.D. Davis, Brandon Nimmo, Robinson Cano and Wilson Ramos.
Late Slate
Oakland Athletics vs. RHP Glenn Sparkman – 6.2 implied runs
Oh this just doesn’t seem fair for RHP Glenn Sparkman. Here we have a pitcher that does not miss many bats and a team loaded with power. In his last ten starts, Sparkman has lasted just 49.1 innings and allowed a whopping 14 home runs. In his last 369 righty/lefty matchups he has allowed a .370 wOBA. .234 ISO, 14.1 BB% with just a 14.1 K%. It has not been pretty with 352 righties rolling up a .344 wOBA, .185 ISO with a 13.4 K%.
Pretty much everyone swinging a bat for Oakland is in play. Matt Chapman, Matt Olson, Mark Canha and Khris Davis are the core four. Then we can use Jurickson Profar, Seth Brown, Sean Murphy and Marcus Semien for differentiation.
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Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac
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