MLB Picks: Friday, September 20th gives us a nice variety of pitching and pitchers to target for the main slate on Yahoo, DraftKings, FanDuel and FantasyDraft. Before you lock in your baseball DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections. Not a member? Sign up HERE and use Promo Code: MLBSTACKS for 50% off any one month subscription.
For Today’s Spotlight Pitchers article click here
Greetings Gamers! This is shaping up to be a fun slate with some solid pitchers and no real “must-play” ballpark. There are, however, some gas cans that are in desperate need of a match.
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Main Slate
Atlanta Braves vs. RHP Tyler Beede – 5.5 implied runs
We know to target the mediocre San Fransisco pitchers on the road, and first up in this series is RHP Tyler Beede. Depending on your metric of choice, Beede is about 30-40% worse when he is away from Oracle Park. Lefties and righties have equally benefited from facing him this season and Atlanta has a nice mix of both.
First on our list is, of course, Freddie Freeman, followed closely by Josh Donaldson, Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies. Nick Markakis has been back for a handful of games after missing almost two months and he has been on a tear. Matthew Joyce and Brian McCann are nicely discounted depending on your site of choice. Lastly, for differentiation we can consider Dansby Swanson as the lynchpin in a wraparound stack.
Evening Slate
Minnesota Twins vs. LHP Eric Skoglund – 6.0 implied runs
With RHP Jakob Junis being shut down for the rest of the season, LHP Eric Skoglund is back in the rotation. Unfortunately for him, he is facing one of the best teams in the league against southpaws. On the season, the Twins have a 126 wRC+ which means they score 26% more runs than the league average against lefties.
Over his 14 innings this season, Skoglund has allowed 13 earned runs, three home runs, seven walks with JUST TWO STRIKEOUTS. Load up on the usual suspects for Minnesota. The first tier is, of cours,e Nelson Cruz, Mitch Garver and Miguel Sano. The next group includes Jorge Polanco, Marwin Gonzalez, Jonathan Schoop and Ryan LaMarre for differentiation.
Late Slate
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. RHP Peter Lambert – 5.9 implied runs
Oh, poor 22-year old rookie RHP Peter Lambert. This has not been a fun season for him. On a positive note, the southpaw has not allowed a home run in each of his last two starts. Sadly, he has managed only four strikeouts with six walks and six earned runs over those 10.0 innings. On the season, he has a 6.99 ERA, 1.71 WHIP with just 54 punchouts in 86.1 innings and 17 home runs allowed.
Lefties have gotten to the youngster with a 1.73 HR/9 and a .264 ISO, with righties equally as effective with a 1.80 HR/9 and a .236 ISO. The Dodgers have power from both sides of the plate which could make this a quick outing for Lambert.
Look to Cody Bellinger, Joc Pederson, Max Muncy, A.J. Pollock and Corey Seager. Will Smith is a solid option where we need to roster catchers. Justin Turner may be back from injury and Gavin Lux or whoever else makes the lineup in the infield is a differentiation option.
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Good Luck Gamers! ~ EMac
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In addition to our MLB Projections, Awesemo’s ownership projections come out every day before lineup lock. In addition, we also release a daily Top Stack projection, which takes a look at how likely each MLB stack is to be the highest scoring unit on the slate, relative to our projected ownership and value. Want a more in-depth look? Check out Data Central page, which tallies up every single bit of data we’ve collected over the course of the day, including chance of postponement.
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