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MLB Fantasy: No House Advantage MLB Picks for Tonight’s Games

Eric Lindquist



Eric Lindquist gives his favorite MLB No House Advantage prop predictions & expert picks for tonight's fantasy baseball slate, July 22, 2021.

With NBA over and a month-plus left to go until the NFL arrives, it is all MLB for the foreseeable future. Unfortunately, there is a lot of competition at the standard DFS sites with the same ordinary salary-based contests. And at a standard sportsbook, bettors are paying tons of juice to the house in order to play props at efficient lines. Fortunately, that is where No House Advantage comes in, as they offer peer-to-peer prop-based contests that are the best of both worlds. They set the lines early on in the day and keep them there no matter what, meaning if there is a strikeout prop set at 5.5 in the morning, it is guaranteed to be 5.5 at lock. Give it a try using promo code “AWESEMO” to get $20 first match deposit bonus, and utilize these three plays to play on tonight’s MLB fantasy slate.

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No House Advantage Fantasy Baseball: MLB Picks Tonight

Austin Meadows OVER 0.5 Hits

One of the best strategies for playing over at No House Advantage is taking overs on the 0.5-hits lines and unders on 1.5-hits lines. In this instance, taking the over on 0.5 hits for Meadows is an autoplay against righty Cal Quantrill and his .285 xBA, a bottom-6% mark among all starters in baseball. And Meadows carries a .256 average on the year against righties as opposed to a paltry .212 against lefties, so the platoon advantage is a big deal. Put all of that together, and it makes Meadows one of the top props to play on No House Advantage tonight.

Chris Flexen UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts

The new MLB Player Props tool at Awesemo is one of the quickest and easiest ways to find strikeout props that look advantageous to target. Tonight it projects a play on the under of 4.5 strikeouts for Flexen to win 75% of the time, making it a strong option to consider in one of the higher confidence spots. Flexen is in the middle of a career-high strikeout year, which is ironic because his 16.3% strikeout year is one of the worst among starting pitchers. So against an Athletics team only striking out at a 23.4% clip against right-handed pitching this season, it is hard to envision Flexen missing many bats in this spot.

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Sean Manaea OVER 4.5 Strikeouts

In true “save the best for last” fashion, the top play on the No House Advantage board is unquestionably the over on 4.5 strikeouts for Manaea tonight. By utilizing Awesemo’s OddsShopper to see what line is at sportsbooks, there are small edges to be had if there is a large disparity between the line for the play over there as opposed to on NHA. This is one such instance, as Manaea is currently listed at 6.5 strikeouts around sportsbooks but only 4.5 on No House Advantage. That is a huge gap to take advantage of, making it the strongest play possible for the 10-point confidence spot tonight.

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