Wednesday, Aug. 12 the focus on an eight-game main slate. Before you lock in your MLB DFS lineups and MLB DFS picks, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s DFS baseball MLB rankings and projections.
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Greetings, Gamers! We have wall-to-wall baseball with games beginning at 1 p.m. EST and rolling into the night.
Similar to last year I will be providing a review of one stack for each of the day’s slates. Some of these short-slate options will be good for the full-game set, others will be more contrarian and better suited for the mini-game sets.
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Coors Field Extravaganza
Arizona Diamondbacks at RHP Antonio Senzatela – 6.2 implied runs
Since the beginning of the 2018 season, Senzatela has compiled 113.2 Coors Field innings. During that time he has an excellent 50.7% ground ball rate, but he still has an issue with fly balls leaving the yard. The 14.7 HR/FB% and 8.1% walk rate have led to a 5.46 ERA, which is unlucky when compared to his 4.62 xFIP. We definitely want to target him on Wednesday with Diamondbacks hitters.
While he has struggled mightily, there is a mega discount on DraftKings with Jake Lamb at just $2,900, which will give us some much needed salary cap relief. David Peralta is another Arizona hitter that has been slumping with just four extra base hits this season. At some point these guys should turn it around, and this is the perfect spot.
Hitters we should key in on are definitely Kole Calhoun, switch-hitting Ketel Marte, power-laden Christian Walker and Starling Marte.
Colorado Rockies vs. RHP Luke Weaver – 6.0 implied runs
It will be interesting to see how long Weaver gets to go on Wednesday. In his first two starts, he went 79 and 86 pitches but suffered the second time through the lineup. He was allowed to go only 43 pitches in his last start lasting just three innings. Sadly, he still allowed his fourth and fifth home runs of the season. Currently he is sitting on a 12.19 ERA with a whopping 2.19 base runners allowed per inning.
Colorado has Thursday off before welcoming the Texas Rangers for a weekend series. It will be interesting to see if anyone gets a bonus day of rest. Look to the usual suspects to fill out your lineups, just know that they are not going to be cheap.
Late Afternoon-Slate Picks
Kansas City Royals at LHP Wade Miley – 4.9 implied runs
Miley has made only one appearance this season while dealing with groin injury. That outing was a disaster with five earned runs in just 1.2 innings. It should be noted that Miley does not allow much power with only a .133 ISO to righties and a .119 ISO to lefties since the beginning of 2018. He does allow base runners, and the current Reds bullpen is far from intimidating.
It is going to be in the mid-80s with 70% humidity at first pitch. While a full stack is not out of the question, my preference would be to play two- and three-man groupings in a synergistic manner. Whit Merrifield, Jorge Soler and Salvador Perez of course lead the way, but that is where the masses will also land. Do not overlook Hunter Dozier, Adalberto Mondesi and Maikel Franco who, outside of Mondesi, are not well known names.
Main-Slate Picks
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LHP Wade LeBlanc – 5.5 implied runs
Since the beginning of the 2018 season, LeBlanc has allowed 56 home runs, which is the 14th most of anyone with at least 295 innings pitched in that time frame. Despite pitching 154.0 of those innings for the Mariners at home, he still allowed 30 of those dingers in T-Mobile Park, with other pitchers acting as the “opener” most of last season.
The Phillies are well positioned to take advantage of lefties with Rhys Hoskins, Jean Segura and J.T. Realmuto posting .200 ISOs over the last two seasons against opposite-handed hurlers. Bryce Harper (.273 ISO), Didi Gregorius (.202) and Jay Bruce (.201) all thrive in lefty/lefty matchups. Finally we have Andrew McCutchen, who should be leading off, and he has a long track record of success against southpaws.
Late-Slate Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. RHP Zach Davies – 4.8 implied runs
With just two games on our late slate, it is easy to see why the Dodgers are going to be the most popular option. They are very much in play on the main slate as well. Davies does a nice job of suppressing power, but he allows a ton of balls in play and has a below-average 15.9% strikeout rate over his last 1,000 batters faced with a 7.8% walk rate.
This is an outstanding spot for Joc Pederson, Cody Bellinger and Max Muncy. Of course they are usually spread throughout the lineup. Work in A.J. Pollock, Justin Turner and of course Mookie Betts for adjacent stacking upside.
As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS if you have any questions or want to discuss anything MLB DFS related.
