Welcome to Friday night in the MLB! We have a plethora of starting pitcher options on tonight’s six-game slate, ranging from the extremely expensive to cheap. The following FREE MLB DFS picks for fantasy baseball lineups are based on Awesemo’s MLB Projections for today’s MLB DFS fantasy baseball slate on DraftKings. For more free DraftKings MLB picks and analysis for DFS baseball lineups, check out the Awesemo.com YouTube Channel for today’s MLB Strategy Show, Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock Shows. Picks in green are for cash or GPP-style contests.
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Top MLB DFS Value Plays
Max Scherzer – Nationals at Red Sox – FanDuel $10,600, DraftKings $10,900
Scherzer stands alone as the ace of tonight’s slate, and the ownership is going to be huge without many other options. He wasn’t his dominant self in his last start against the Marlins, lasting just 4.2 innings while giving up four earned and walking two. It was an uncharacteristic start for the three-time Cy Young Award winner and the first time of the 2020 season he didn’t last past the fifth inning. With that being said, Scherzer has been over 105 pitches in three straight starts, so we know the leash is completely off. When he’s able to command his fastball and slider, there still might not be a better pitcher in the MLB.
He’ll face off with the Red Sox tonight, who have been downright terrible in 2020. They rank 20th against right-handed pitching with a .313 wOBA and 24.6% strikeout rate. Scherzer will still have his work cut out for him in the middle of the order with some lethal weapons, but the rest of the lineup is filled with high-strikeout, low-OBP bats that have been ice cold. The Nationals are relying on Scherzer heavily every fifth day to deliver a win, as every game is extremely important at this point in the year. There isn’t much of an opportunity cost on this slate, and the upside Scherzer brings to the table is tough to pass up.
Awesemo FanDuel Grade: A, D
Awesemo DraftKings Grade: A, C
Andrew Heaney – Angels vs. Mariners – FanDuel $6,900, DraftKings $7,800
The 2020 season has been a weird one for Heaney, and the last three starts have been the toughest yet (14 combined earned runs). Still, the numbers show a guy with a huge ceiling. He’s striking out 9.51 batters per nine innings, and the 4.26 xFIP is not so bad. He’s been bitten by some bad luck, and the .338 BABIP has been on its way down of late. The issue has been his command, and he’s likely going to break a slate when he does find that fastball. If he’s going to right the ship, it’s going to be against this Seattle Mariners team.
The Mariners rank 27th against left-handed pitching, sporting a woeful .267 wOBA and 27.3% strikeout rate. They are one of the least patient teams in the MLB and don’t have much power to back up the impatience, hopefully keeping the pitch count down for the southpaw. Heaney doesn’t have a huge pitch count, and him lasting past the fifth is always key. The price is extremely low on both sites, and the upside is tremendous if Heaney can right the ship even a little bit. While Scherzer is the move in cash games, don’t be afraid to take a shot here on Heaney.
Awesemo FanDuel Grade: C, B
Awesemo DraftKings Grade: B, B
Ryan Yarbrough – Rays at Marlins – FanDuel $6,700, DraftKings $7,000
Yarbrough typically hasn’t gone deep this year, but that changed in his last start. He went 6.1 innings against the Blue Jays with six strikeouts but allowed four earned runs. He was stretched out to 97 pitches in the start and jumps right into the value discussion tonight if we’re expecting another 90 pitches or more. The Marlins aren’t bad against left-handed pitching, but they’re a middling lineup at best and can be shut down by anyone. Yarbrough is also going to be under-owned as that 17.5 fantasy points per game next to his name doesn’t look pretty. The majority of his appearances have come out of the bullpen, though, so it doesn’t really matter. If you feel like living on a limb, Yarbrough is a brave choice in GPPs.
Awesemo FanDuel Grade: D, B
Awesemo DraftKings Grade: C, D
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