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Spotlight Pitchers: MLB DFS Picks for DraftKings + FanDuel | Gerrit Cole or Shane Bieber?




Austyn's top pitcher MLB DFS picks for Friday, July 24th, including Shane Beiber and Justin Verlander on DraftKings, FanDuel.

Welcome to Monday night in the MLB! We have a plethora of starting pitcher options on tonight’s seven-game slate, ranging from the extremely expensive to cheap. The following FREE MLB DFS picks for fantasy baseball lineups are based on Awesemo’s MLB Projections for today’s MLB DFS fantasy baseball slate on DraftKings. For more free DraftKings MLB picks and analysis for DFS baseball lineups, check out the YouTube Channel for today’s MLB Strategy Show, Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock Shows. Picks in green are for cash or GPP-style contests.

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Top Value Plays

Shane Bieber – Indians at Royals – FanDuel $12,000, DraftKings $11,000

We’ve already had a few slates with these two elite starting pitchers, and Bieber consistently dominates no matter the matchup. He’s now been over 52 FanDuel points in six of his seven appearances and has struck out 75 total batters along the way. Bieber is sporting a league-best 1.83 xFIP while striking out a ridiculous 14.46 batters per nine innings and allowing just seven total runs in nearly 50 innings of work. He turned 25 in the offseason and is just now approaching his prime. The Cy Young Award awaits Bieber if he continues performing at this pace, and he’ll have every opportunity to against a terrible Kansas City lineup.

The Royals are implied to score just 2.88 runs tonight by Vegas, and the Indians are comfortable -240 favorites. Against right-handed pitching, the Royals rank 24th in baseball with a team .304 wOBA and a 24% strikeout rate. There is some power to worry about in the heart of the order, but the same guys strike out a ton and aren’t nearly as good against righties. Bieber is going to strike out 10-plus once again with ease if he’s on his game. And while the price is high, the ownership won’t be insane with Gerritt Cole right below him, and there is leverage in a tournament if Bieber can dominate once again. In cash games, there’s a serious debate to be had, as both Cole and Bieber are similarly safe.

Awesemo FanDuel Grade: A, B

Awesemo DraftKings Grade: A, A

Gerrit Cole – Yankees vs. Rays – FanDuel $10,700, DraftKings $10,000

Cole struggled a bit in his last start out, giving up five earned runs through five innings to the Braves. He did salvage his day with nine strikeouts but just never seemed to get into a solid rhythm. He’ll look to enact revenge on the Rays tonight, who he’ll face off with for the third time of the season. He put up 48 and 35 FanDuel fantasy points in the previous two appearances, and I expect him to continue building onto those starts tonight. He was BABIP’d to death against Atlanta and will be gnawing at the bit to get back out there and dominate. The Yankees are -150 favorites as they face off with a solid pitcher in Tyler Glasnow on the other side.

Cole is still one of the best pitchers in baseball when you look at his underlying numbers. He’s striking out 11.63 batters per nine innings while posting a 3.41 xFIP. The Tampa Bay Rays are middle of the road against right-handed pitching and strike out a ton at 24.2%. The price is substantially lower on Cole than Bieber on both sites, and he’s the better value in cash games. With some expensive bats worth paying up for, every dollar is crucial, and the savings on Cole are much needed. There is no wrong answer between these two guys, but it’s hard to get away from the extra thousand dollars or so. On the other hand, Bieber is a bigger favorite and he’s been more consistent this year. Take your pick.

Awesemo FanDuel Grade: A, B

Awesemo DraftKings Grade: A, A

Rich Hill – Twins vs. White Sox – FanDuel $6,800, DraftKings $7,300

If you’re looking to pay down, there aren’t a ton of phenomenal options. We’re going to take a look at Hill, who’s been solid in two of his three starts and could very well be looking at an increased workload. The matchup isn’t perfect against the White Sox, but they do strike out some and aren’t the most consistent bunch. They’ve also been extremely lucky with a .342 BABIP, which will naturally fall as the sample size grows. Hill is no elite pitcher at 40 years old, but he’s going to strike out a batter per inning and does a good job at limiting damage. He’s a solid SP2 on DraftKings and not a terrible idea on FanDuel if you want a full Coors Field stack.

Awesemo FanDuel Grade: C, A

Awesemo DraftKings Grade: C, B

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