Hello UFC DFS fans, it’s good to have UFC back and I hope everyone is doing well. This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Las Vegas, including a main event between Amanda Nunes and Felicia Spencer. The main GPP on DraftKings is a MILLY MAKER, with $1,000,000. going to first place a total of $2,525,000. being paid out. Here I offer the fighters I feel have the most upside and value. Let’s dig into some MMA DFS Picks analysis for your UFC DFS lineups.
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UFC 250 Core MMA DFS Picks
Sean O’Malley| DraftKings: $9,300, FanDuel: $22
O’Malley is a sneaky striker; he uses his shoulder faints and fakes extremely well. He throws an overhand right, that will put his opponents lights out in a hurry. O’Malley will throw a spinning backfit that is nasty, and he will follow up with a high kick to the head. He is a well-rounded fighter and has nice head movement that allows him to can avoid punches well. Awesemo’s Top Stacks Tool gives him a 58.6% at a knockout and an 81.8%-win odds. O’Malley is Awesemo’s second highest projected fighter on the slate.
Amanda “The Lioness” Nunes | DraftKings: $9,400, FanDuel: $23
Nunes is an elite striker; and she throws a nasty jab that can bust open her opponents face with easse. Her low kicks will damage her opponents and take their legs away in a hurry. Nunes’ right hand is dangerous and packed full of power, and it will put her opponents lights out. She is a strong and physical fighter, and is well-rounded her grappling is strong and dangerous. Nunes is Awesemo’s highest projected fighter on the slate, with 64% top-six odds vs. 58% ownership according to the premium Top Fighters Tool. She is a lock in all formats.
UFC 250 Mid-Priced MMA DFS Picks
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Chase Hooper | DraftKings: $8.500, FanDuel $16
Hooper is a dangerous submission artist and as such, will look to take this fight to the mat where he feels most comfortable. Hooper is still learning on the feet, and he throws a lot of front kicks to the head and body. He does have a solid chin, but has been hurt in several fights and managed to survive the punishment. Hooper is Awesemo’s sixth highest project fighter on the slate. He also gives him 63.2%-win odds. Just be careful with Hooper though, when building lineups – Awesemo has him at 36% chance of being a top-six fighter. With 44% ownership, that means you’re giving away some leverage to the field, so find other spots in your lineup to gain an edge.
Charles Byrd | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $19
Byrd is a well-rounded fighter that will walk his opponents down by throwing a jab, straight-right combination, while mixing in uppercuts. He’s also a strong grappler and he has nice side control, but he is best from top control and has nasty ground-and-pound. Awesemo has Byrd projected as the seventh highest fighter on the slate, giving him 61.7%-win odds. Just be careful if you roster him, as Awesemo only gives him 30% chance at being a top-six fighter.
UFC 250 Value MMA DFS Picks
Gerald Meerschaert | DraftKings: $7,800, FanDuel: $15
Meerschaert throws a nice jab, straight right combination, and he will throw round kicks to the head. He throws a nasty left hook, and it does have power behind it. Meerschaert is a good grappler; and he is excellent at getting takedowns. He is strong in the clinch, throwing nasty knees and elbows to the head. Meerschaert is Awesemo’s third highest projected fighter on the slate. He gives his 75%-win odds vs. 33% ownership, which makes him a nice value play.
Fight update: Ian Heinisch will fight Gerald Meerschaert at UFC 250, after all. The middleweight was pulled from the fight on Thursday due to one of his corner-men testing positive for Covid-19. It looks like a second test came back negative so we’re good to go. Should anything happen again, Meerschaert becomes a complete lock against likely fill-in Anthony Ivy.
