Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. This weekend there is a 13-fight card at Jacksonville Arena, including a main event between Kamaru Usman and Jorge Masvidal for UFC 261. The main GPP has $200,000 going to first place with a total of $750,000 being paid out. Here I will offer the fights I feel have the most upside for DFS purposes. With the help of Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS projections, Top Fighters Tool and UFC DFS ownership projections, let’s dig into some MMA DFS picks and analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups this weekend.
[UFC261]
MMA DFS Picks: UFC 261 Usman vs Masvidal 2
Core Plays
Kamaru Usman | DraftKings: $9,400, FanDuel: $23
Usman is dangerous on the feet, and if the fight hits the mat, he will be equally as dangerous. That said, Usman will dictate where the fights take place, and his pressure is absolutely smothering. He will have the clear advantage on the mat against Jorge Masvidal. Furthermore, Usman’s cardio is possibly the best in the division, which allows him to bring a pace that is exhausting to his opponents. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Usman 80% win odds.
Mid-Priced Plays
Patrick Sabatini | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $19
Sabatini is a dangerous submission artist and wrestler in the Octagon. His 10 submission wins include seven via rear-naked choke. Sabatini will be the better fighter everywhere, although Tristan Connelly has solid wrestling and striking. However, Sabatini should be the better wrestler and could possibly secure a first-round finish in this fight. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Sabatini 67% win odds.
Brendan Allen | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $15
Allen is a solid play due to his takedown upside. He has a dangerous submission game and will come out looking for the takedown early and often. That said, when the fight hits the mat, Allen should dominate top control and look for the submission finish early. However, Karl Roberson will be the better striker, so if Allen cannot get this fight to the mat, Roberson could possibly land a knockout blow. That said, Allen should have multiple takedowns in this fight. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Allen 59% win odds.
Latest MMA & UFC DFS Content
- DraftKings UFC Cheat Sheet: NEW MMA DFS Sims Picks for UFC Fight Night Ribas vs. Namajunas
- UFC 299 DFS Picks: Ion Cutelaba Gives Me Mixed Emotions
- UFC DFS Picks: Banking On Bernardo Sopaj
- UFC Fight Night DFS Picks: Back Yair Rodriguez’s Dynamic Striking
- Stokastic’s BRAND NEW MMA DFS Sims Help Our Pros Place First in DraftKings UFC 297 Contest
- Stokastic DFS on Youtube
Value Plays
Rose Namajunas | DraftKings: $7,200, FanDuel: $17
This fight should be extremely high-paced, and the winner will probably be in the optimal lineups. If Namajunas can get this fight to the mat, she will have a clear path to victory. That said, Weili Zhang will be a tough opponent to get to the mat due to her strength and toughness. But Namajunas has solid striking as well and can absolutely hang with Zhang in this fight. Namajunas needs to use her reach advantage and boxing to keep Zhang at distance while using her movement to look for timely opportunities to score takedowns. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel give Namajunas 36% win odds.
Follow us on all of our social channels! Check out our Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube for more great Awesemo content.
[MMAPAGE]