Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. This weekend we have a 10-fight card in Las Vegas including a main event between Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou. The main GPP has $150,000 going to first place with a total of $600,000 being paid out. Here I will offer the fights I feel have the most upside for DFS purposes. Let’s dig into some MMA DFS picks and analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.
UFC 260: Miocic vs Ngannou | DraftKings + FanDuel MMA DFS Picks
Core MMA DFS Plays
Sean O’Malley | DraftKings: $9,200, FanDuel: $23
Expect this fight to end in a knockout. The preferred play is O’Malley, he will be the more aggressive and faster fighter with big power to knock Thomas Almeida out. He is a unique fighter in the Bantamweight Division with his long 72-inch reach. That said, expect O’Malley to bring a high output and furious pace in this fight, while looking to make quick work of Almeida. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Projections give O’Malley 74% win odds, with a 49% chance for a knockout.
Francis Ngannou | DraftKings: $8,100, FanDuel: $22
Ngannou is getting his second shot at the Heavyweight Title. Since their first match, Ngannou has made his case for this second title shot by racking up four consecutive wins. Ngannou has scary-dangerous power and could possibly have the most powerful one-shot punch in the UFC. That said, Ngannou is not a high-volume striker but he possesses the power to knockout anybody in his path. Our UFC DFS projections give Ngannou 55% win odds, with a 51% chance for a knockout.
Alonzo Menifield | DraftKings: $8,100, FanDuel: $22
Menifield at $8,100 is a solid core play, but he will be highly owned. He has eight wins via knockout, so expect him to push the pace early and test the chin of Fabio Cherant often. That said, Menifield is a scary and powerful striker, but Menifield will need to avoid Cherant in the clinch, where he could lock in a choke. Expect this fight to play out on the feet and Menifield to get the knockout finish early in the second-round. Our UFC DFS projections give 73% win odds with a 48% chance for a knockout.
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Mid-Priced MMA DFS Picks
Omar Morales | DraftKings: $8,700, FanDuel: $19
Morales will be looking to bounce back after his first career loss. He brings constant forward pressure, throwing heavy punches and high kicks. Morales will look for openings to shoot and get his opponents to the mat, where he will use nasty ground-=and-pound to inflict more damage. Expect Morales to test the chin of Shane Young in this fight. Awesemo’s UFC DFS projections give Morales 63% win odds.
Value MMA DFS Picks
Stipe Miocic | DraftKings: $7,800, FanDuel: $19
Miocic is the current Heavyweight Champion, and is the greatest heavyweight of all time. He holds the UFC Heavyweight record for most title wins and most performance bonuses. Miocic will have a huge grappling advantage over Ngannou. He is a powerful heavyweight and possesses solid boxing skills with extremely fast hands. Expect this fight to play out like the first meeting. However, Ngannou will be better prepared for Miocic in this fight, but still, Miocic will get the victory if he can avoid the power of Ngannou. At $7,800, using Miocic as a core play is fine. Our UFC DFS projections give Miocic 45% win odds.
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