Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. This weekend there is a 14-fight card in Glendale, Arizona. UFC 263 will be an exciting card with the potential for multiple finishes, and DraftKings and FanDuel have solid UFC DFS contest. Here I offer the fighters I feel have the most upside for UFC DFS purposes. With the help of Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS ownership projections, let’s dig into some MMA DFS picks and analysis for UFC 263.
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori | UFC DFS Picks
Core MMA DFS Plays
Jamahal Hill | DraftKings: $9,400, FanDuel: $21
Hill is a southpaw that will switch stances to keep his opponents off balance. He is a high-volume striker with fast hands and huge power. Hill will look for the kill shot early and often. If he can keep this fight standing, he has a clear path to victory with his elite striking and power. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Projections give Hill 73% win odds with a 54% chance for a knockout.
Mid-Priced MMA DFS Picks
Drew Dober | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $18
Dober struggled early in his UFC career but went on a 6-1 run that saw him viciously knock out Nasrat Haqparast and Alexander Hernandez. He is coming into this matchup on a disappointing third-round loss via submission to Islam Makhachev at UFC 259. Sixteen of his professional wins have come inside the distance, nine of them via submission. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Projections give Dober 57% win odds.
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Joanne Calderwood | DraftKings: $8,200, FanDuel: $17
Calderwood will be the more technical fighter here, and her solid base should be too much for Lauren Murphy to handle. However, Murphy has had some solid wins recently against Andrea Lee and Roxanne Modafferi. Calderwood is coming into this matchup off an impressive unanimous decision win over Jessica Eye at UFC 257. She is a solid play on both DraftKings and FanDuel due to her out output. Furthermore, when Calderwood wins, she has scored well even in a decision. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Projections give Calderwood 57% win odds.
Value MMA DFS Picks
Demian Maia | DraftKings: $7,200, FanDuel: $12
Maia is coming into this matchup off a first-round knockout loss to Gilbert Burns. Before that defeat Maia had won three fights in a row, with two wins coming via submission over Lyman Good and Ben Askren. This is a risky value play on both sites. That said, Maia has a path to the optimal lineup with an early submission. Maia has three wins via knockout, 14 wins via submission and 11 via decision. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel Projections give Maia 33% win odds.
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