Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. This weekend there is a 12-fight card in Las Vegas at the Apex. UFC Vegas 26 will be an interesting card with potential for multiple finishes, and DraftKings and FanDuel have some solid MMA DFS contest. Here I offer the fighters I feel have the most upside for UFC DFS purposes. With the help of Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS projections, let’s dig into some MMA DFS picks and analysis for UFC Vegas 25.
UFC Vegas 26: Rodriguez vs. Waterson | UFC DFS Picks
Core MMA DFS Plays
Marina Rodriguez | DraftKings: $9,400, FanDuel: $23
Rodriguez will have the physical advantage in this fight. She is the kind of fighter that has no problem making weight without draining her body. Rodriguez is coming into this fight fresh off a second-round knockout of Amanda Ribas in January, which happen to earn her Performance of the Night bonus. She is a sharp striker with a nasty jab and smothering forward pressure. Rodriguez has six wins via knockout, one via submission and six via decision. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Rodriguez 66% win odds.
Mid-Priced MMA DFS Picks
Tafon Nchukwi | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $17
Nchukwi made his way to the UFC with a sensational head-kick knockout of Al Matavao on Dana White’s Contender Series. He made his UFC debut against a durable opponent in Jamie Pickett, who he outworked to a unanimous decision victory. Nchukwi is a volume striker with huge knockout power. He is averaging 7.69 significant strikes per minute and will have two inches of height and four inches of reach advantage over Jun Yong Park. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Nchukwi 57% win odds and a 33% chance for a knockout.
Donald Cerrone | DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $22
Cerrone is a decorated kick boxer and has a background in Muay Thai. He throws nasty leg kicks to weaken his opponents and will look for opening to shoot once he has inflicted damage. Cerrone will be the better fighter everywhere and is live for a submission or knockout. He has 10 wins via knockout, 17 via submission and nine via decision. However, Alex Morono could win this fight on volume if Cerrone fails to secure a finish. Awesemo’s UFC DFS projections give Cerrone 63% win odds.
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Value MMA DFS Picks
Angela Hill | DraftKings: $7,400, FanDuel: $11
Hill put herself back in the win column in March after a two-fight losing streak, and she will be looking keep her momentum going. She is a solid striker with a mix of Muay Thai and sharp combinations. Hill will need to keep this fight standing and keep it at kickboxing distance to secure a victory. If she can use her speed, movement and striking effectively, then she should be able to test the suspect chin of Amanda Ribas. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and Fan Duel projections give Hill 37% win odds.
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