Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. This weekend there is a 13-fight card in Las Vegas at the Apex. UFC Vegas 27 will be an exciting card with the potential for multiple finishes, and DraftKings and FanDuel have solid UFC DFS contests. Here I offer the fighters I feel have the most upside for daily fantasy purposes. With the help of Awesemo’s expert projections, let’s dig into some MMA DFS picks and analysis for UFC Vegas 27: Font vs. Garbrandt.
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UFC Vegas 27: Font vs. Garbrandt MMA DFS Picks
Core Play
Cody Garbrandt | DraftKings: $7,900, FanDuel: $20
Garbrandt was at one point a rising star in the UFC, eventually winning the bantamweight championship by defeating Dominick Cruz at UFC 207. However, Garbrandt lost his first title defense to T.J. Dillashaw. Garbrandt also lost his next bout against Pedro Munhoz. However, he successfully returned with a spectacular second-round knockout of Raphael Assuncao at UFC 235. If Garbrandt can be patient with his striking while looking to avoid the costly mistakes in his striking exchanges, he should seal another victory. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Garbrandt 49% win odds with a 34% chance for a knockout.
Mid-Range Plays
Yan Xiaonan | DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $17
Xiaonan is ranked as the No.3 strawweight contender in the UFC rankings. She is coming into this matchup on a six-fight winning streak. Xiaonan will be the better athlete in this fight and by far the stronger fighter. Her size and physicality should be valuable in clinch exchanges with Carla Esparza. Xiaonan should pick Esparza apart and dominate her in all aspects of this fight. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Xiaonan 53% win odds.
Claudio Silva | DraftKings: $8,200, FanDuel: $14
Silva was on a 14-fight win streak up until his last fight, losing a unanimous decision to James Krause. He is a beast on the ground with an impressive 64% of his overall wins coming via submission. However, Court McGee has never been submitted in his career, although if Silva can get this fight to the mat early, then he is live for a rear-naked choke victory regardless of McGee’s past. Silva should be highly motivated to avoid a second straight loss. That said, Silva will look to get this fight to the mat early and could possibly give the fading McGee his first submission loss. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give Silva 49% win odds.
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Value Play
Edmen Shahbazyan | DraftKings: $7,300, FanDuel: $11
Shahbazyan is coming off the first loss of his career when he was knocked out by Derek Brunson in August. He is currently ranked No. 10 in middleweight division and has an impressive 10 of his 11 wins coming via first-round finish. Shahbazyan is a risky value play going against a superior grappler as Hermansson, who is notorious for wearing on his opponents in grappling exchanges. However, at $7,300, Shahbazyan could nicely pay off in MMA DFS lineups with a finish over Hermansson. Shahbazyan is a polished technical striker with speed and power. Awesemo’s UFC DFS DraftKings and FanDuel projections give him 42% win odds.
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