Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. Today we are live at Madison Square Garden, with an exciting welterweight title fight between Kamaru Usman vs. Colby Covington. Here I offer some of my favorite MMA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel UFC lineups with the help Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS projections. So, let’s dig into some MMA DFS picks and analysis for UFC 268.
If you’re looking for a comprehensive breakdown of the entire UFC 268 card, check out Mark Stine’s Inside the Octagon, where he goes fight by fight to give you the best MMA DFS analysis for tonight’s fights.
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 | DraftKings + FanDuel MMA DFS Picks
Top-End Picks
Ian Garry | DraftKings: $9,500, FanDuel: $22
Garry is making his UFC debut less than three years after making his professional debut. He is extremely exciting, talented and has big power in his hands. Garry blew through the Cage Warriors welterweight division, collecting five knockouts on his way to sealing the welterweight championship via unanimous decision over Jack Grant. He has joined Sandford MMA in Florida, where he has been training with the likes of Gilbert Burns and Vicente Luque. For DFS, Garry is a solid top-end pick in all formats. Awesemo’s projections Garry 78% win odds with a 56% chance for a knockout.
Mid-Priced Picks
Marlon Vera | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $16
Vera can absolutely finish fights, as it showed against Sean O’Malley with a first-round knockout. He has brutal kickboxing with devastating body shots and will punish his opponents in the clinch. Vera has a dangerous ground game that has finished eight opponents via submission. He was riding a five-fight winning streak — three via knockout and two via submission. However, Vera has gone 2-2 in the UFC since. For DFS, Vera has the finishing ability and that makes him a strong mid-priced play in all formats. Awesemo’s projections give Vera 62% win odds with 36% chance for a knockout.
Rose Namajunas | DraftKings: $8,200, FanDuel: $17
Namajunas is now the two-time strawweight champion after knocking out Weili Zhang just one minute into their fight at UFC 261. She knocked out Joanna Jedrzejczyk to claim her first title in 2017. Namajunas is extremely well-rounded, and her tricky submission game is dangerous, and she uses nice footwork with crisp boxing. This fight could still the show at UFC 268, so be prepared for a battle between two dangerous strikers. For DFS, Namajunas is a solid play due to her finishing abilities. Awesemo’s projections give give Namajunas 48% win odds.
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Value Picks
Billy Quarantillo | DraftKings: $7,200, FanDuel: $11
Quarantillo is coming off a Fight of the Night performance after defeating Gabriel Benitez via third-round knockout. He is well-rounded with solid striking and heavy pressure, along with nice grappling and a gas tank that will not empty. Quarantillo has seven wins via knockout, five via submission and four via decision. For DFS, Quarantillo is a risky value play, but with his finishing abilities, he could pay off his salary 10x with a victory. Awesemo’s projections  give Quarantillo 36% win odds.
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