Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. Today we are back at the Apex in Las Vegas, with an women’s bantamweight main event between Ketlen Vieira vs. Miesha Tate. Here I offer some of my favorite MMA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel UFC lineups with the help Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS projections. So, let’s dig into some MMA DFS strategy and analysis for UFC Vegas 43.
UFC Vegas 43: Vieira vs. Tate| DraftKings + FanDuel MMA DFS Picks
Top-End Picks
Luana Pinheiro | DraftKings: $9,300, FanDuel: $23
Pinheiro is an exiting prospect in the strawweight division. She is currently riding a seven-fight winning streak, with two of Pinherio’s last three fights coming via knockout. Pinheiro is extremely aggressive in the octagon, with eight of her nine wins coming in the first round. I expect Pinheiro will come out looking for the early finish and she has the skillset to get the job done. For DFS, Pinheiro can score well with an early finish and payoff her high price tag. Pinheiro is a solid play in all formats. Awesemo’s projections give Pinheiro 79% win odds with a 39% chance for a knockout.
Adrian Yanez | DraftKings: $9,100, FanDuel: $22
Yanez is a very talented prospect who has been impressing a lot of people with his elite boxing skills. He is extremely dangerous at range, piecing his opponents up without taking much damage. Yanez is a technical striker, that has huge power and accuracy to finish his opponents in a hurry. In his last fight, Yanez showed that he has a stone chin, eating huge shots and still pressing forward. For DFS, Yanez has a nice ceiling and is playable in all formats. Awesemo’s projections give Yanez 73% win odds with a 48% chance for a knockout.
The Awesemo MMA DFS lineup optimizer is showing Yanez as one of the best plays on the entire slate. For more free UFC DFS picks for the fight tonight, check out our UFC DraftKings cheat sheet and UFC FanDuel cheat sheet.
Mid-Priced Picks
Sean Brady | DraftKings: $8,900, FanDuel: $19
Brady is coming off two impressive submission wins over Christian Aguilera and Jake Matthews. He is an elite striker with a Muay Thai background and has huge power in his hands. Brady is a strong grappler with a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, so expect him to be able to hold his own against Michael Chiesa, if this fight hits the mat. On the feet, Brady’s explosiveness and power will piece Chiesa up. That said, this should be an exciting fight and I expect Brady will be able to exploit Chiesa’s suspect submission defense, earning another win via submission. For DFS, if you’re building multiple lineups, then have around 30% Chiesa. Otherwise, Brady is a solid play in all formats. Awesemo’s projections give Brady 59% win odds.
Miesha Tate | DraftKings: $8,300, FanDuel: $17
Tate looked amazing in her return to the octagon, with a third-round knockout over Marion Reneau in July of last year. That also won Tate Performance of the Night Bonus, which was Tate’s first bout since a unanimous decision loss to Raquel Pennington in 2016. Tate is a well-rounded fighter, who has the cardio to go hard for all three rounds. She looks amazing with a ripped physique and a gas tank that never empties. For DFS, I expect this fight will be popular giving the cheap price tags on both fighters. However, the lean is Tate, and she is a lock in cash games. Awesemo’s projections give Tate 49% win odds.
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Value Picks
Tucker Lutz | DraftKings: $7,500, FanDuel: $15
Lutz made his UFC debut in May and won a unanimous decision over Kevin Aguilar. He is currently riding a 12-fight winning streak, with six wins via knockout, two wins via submission and four wins via decision. Lutz is fighting out of Team Ground Control in Baltimore, Maryland. He is a good striker but can struggle defensively on the feet. However, Lutz has nice boxing skills with solid combinations and big power. On the mat, Lutz is a control wrestler who looks to hold and maintain positions rather than hunt for submissions. For DFS, there is risk with this value play, although it could pay off nicely with a stoppage win at his current price tag. Awesemo’s projections give Lutz 46% win odds.
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