Welcome to The Takedown, UFC fans. Today we are live at the Apex in Las Vegas, with an exciting heavyweight fight between Derrick Lewis vs. Chris Daukaus. Here I offer some of my favorite MMA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel UFC lineups with the help Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS projections. So, let’s dig into some MMA DFS picks and analysis for UFC Vegas 45.
UFC Vegas 45: Lewis vs Daukaus | DraftKings + FanDuel MMA DFS Picks
Amanda Lemos | DraftKings: $9,500, FanDuel: $23
Lemos has been on fire, currently riding a four-fight winning streak. She will come out and push the peace with extreme intensity. Lemos will be the more athletic fighter, her physicality will prove to be too much for Angela Hill to overcome in this fight. For DFS, Lemos is a solid play in all formats. Awesemo’s projections give Lemos 77% win odds with a 30% chance for a knockout.
Ricky Simon | DraftKings: $9,200, FanDuel: $21
Simon is a unique fighter, extremely tough and has a gas tank that never empties. He will use his smothering pressure and pace to wear his opponents down. Simon’s wrestling is spectacular. Over the course of his three-fight winning streak, he has landed 20 of 30 takedowns. Once the fight hits the mat, Simon will constantly be looking to get the finish via ground-and-pound or submission. For MMA DFS purposes, Simon is playable in all formats, due to his takedown upside and finishing ability. Awesemo’s projections give Simon 72% win odds.
Mateusz Gamrot | DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $17
Gamrot is solid everywhere, no matter where the fight takes place on the feet or on the ground. He will combine dangerous striking with explosive wrestling while always hunting for the finish. Gamrot’s power and precision is extremely explosive and his accuracy when landing can disrupt his opponents’ abilities in the octagon. I expect Gamrot will be able to stay at range and land strikes with power and precision on his way to finding the finish early. Awesemo’s projections give Gamrot 63% win odds.
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Derrick Lewis | DraftKings: $7,900, FanDuel: $17
Lewis is fresh off a third-round knockout loss to Cyril Gane when he fought for the interim belt in August. Prior to, Lewis was riding a four-fight winning streak, he has notable victories over Francis Ngannou, Curtis Blaydes and Alexander Volkov. Lewis has insane power, and his strength is scary for a heavyweight. For DFS, Lewis is a solid play, due to his knockout abilities. Awesemo’s projections give Lewis 43% win odds with a 32% chance for a knockout.
Melissa Gatto | DraftKings: $7,500, FanDuel: $14
This is a risky value play, however, could pay off big with a finish over Sijara Eubanks. She will have more ways to win and could very easily lock up a submission, which would probably land her in the optimal lineup. Gatto has one win via knockout, four via submission, one via decision and two draws. That said, all four of her submissions have come in the first round. I expect Gatto will be looking to give an impactful performance against Eubanks. For DFS today, Gatto is a risky value play, but could pay off her price tag nicely with an early finish over Eubanks. Awesemo’s projections give Gatto 40% win odds.
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