Welcome UFC fans, the UFC is live at the Apex Center in Las Vegas, with an exciting welterweight fight headlining UFC Vegas 51: Vicente Luque vs. Belal Muhammad 2. Below are MMA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy UFC lineups with the help Awesemo’s expert UFC DFS projections. Let’s dig into some UFC picks for UFC Vegas 51: Luque vs. Muhammad 2.
UFC Vegas 51: Luque vs. Muhammad MMA DFS Picks
Top-End UFC Picks
Pat Sabatini | DraftKings: $9,200 , FanDuel: $22
Sabatini is a sizeable favorite over T.J. Laramie, he is coming into this matchup on a five-fight winning streak and will be the more battle-tested fighter. In his last five fights, Sabatini has one win via knockout, one via submission and two via decision. Sabatini uses his elite wrestling to get his opponent to the mat. Once there, will use his smothering pressure to set up his dangerous submission game. Laramie will be dangerous if he can keep this fight standing; he has big power in his hands and will come out looking for the kill shot. For UFC DFS today, Sabatini is a solid play and can easily payoff his salary with a submission win. Awesemo’s MMA projections give Sabatini 81% win odds
Martin Buday | DraftKings: $9,000 , FanDuel: $19
Buday will be making his UFC debut after an impressive first-round knockout over Lorenzo Hood on Dana White’s Contender Series. He is athletic for a heavyweight, using sneaky movements to avoid damaging blows and throwing power counterstrikes that can end his opponents’ night. Buday will need to get this fight to the mat where he can use his nasty ground-and-pound to end Chris Barnett’s night. That said, if Buday chooses to stand and trade with Barnett, he has shown the ability to get hit, which could lead to a knockout victory for Barnett. For MMA DFS, Buday is a solid play in your MMA DFS lineups, due to his finishing ability. Awesemo’s UFC projections give Buday 68% win odds, with a 56% chance for a knockout.
Sabatini was one of the top fighters popping in the Awesemo MMA DFS optimizer projections today. He’s a top UFC Pick for this slate. Check out all of our free fantasy MMA DFS Picks and projections in our DraftKings UFC DFS Cheat Sheet and FanDuel UFC DFS Cheat Sheet.
Mid-Range UFC Picks
Vicente Luque | DraftKings: $8,500 , FanDuel: $21
Luque will come out fast and has no problem waking through his opponents’ power. He will dish out a ton of damage in striking exchanges and will be throwing the harder shots against Belal Muhammad. Although, Luque finished Muhammad in their first fight, Muhammad has shown to be more durable in his recent fights, and has shown excellent recoverability. The smaller cage at the Apex will play into Muhammad’s favor, however, I expect Luque will be prepared for heavy pressure. If Muhammad makes a mistake, then Luque will capitalize and lock in a guillotine choke. For UFC DFS lineups, both fighters make sense in your lineups at their low prices, but the lean is with Luque. Awesemo’s MMA fantasy projections give Luque 62% win odds with 44% chance for a knockout.
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UFC Value Picks
Calo Borralho | DraftKings: $7,800, FanDuel: $14
Borralho will use solid feints and keep distance well, while looking to land his powerful left hand. He will need to keep the fight standing to have a chance against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, if Omargadzhiev gets this fight to the mat, then he will win and probably seal a finish. Borralho has the technique and solid movement to keep this fight standing, which could lead to him landing his powerful left and putting Omargadzhiev to sleep. For UFC fantasy, Borralho is a risky play, but has the power upside to be a solid value play with a victory. Awesemo’s UFC projections give 45% win odds.
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