Hello, UFC fans. This weekend we have a 12-fight card in Las Vegas including a main event between Michelle Waterson and Angela Hill. The main GPP has $50,000 going to first place with a total of $200,000 being paid out. Here I will offer the picks I feel have the most upside and value. Let’s dig into some UFC DFS picks.
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UFC DFS Core Plays
Billy Quarantillo | DraftKings: $9,300, FanDuel: $19
Quarantillo is averaging 7.43 significant strikes per minute with a 79% accuracy rate. He has shined since getting his second stint in the UFC, picking up two finishes then going the distance with Spike Carlyle to seal a unanimous-decision victory. Quarantillo will be the better fighter on the mat, his pressure will wear Nelson down, and Quarantillo should look to get this fight to the mat, where he will a have huge advantage. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections give Quarantillo 69% win odds with 44% chance for a knockout.
Angela Hill | DraftKings: $8,200, FanDuel: $20
Hill will have an advantage with the high amount of activity she displays in the cage. She has four wins in her last six contests. Hill has become the first female fighter in the UFC to compete six times within a 12-month period. In this fight, I expect Hill to use her kickboxing and high-volume striking to edge out a unanimous decision victory. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections have Hill as the highest project fighter on the slate with 53% win odds.
UFC DFS Mid-Priced Picks
Mike Rodriguez | DraftKings: $8,800, FanDuel: $20
Rodriguez will be the younger and bigger fighter. He is coming in on a TKO victory over Marcin Prachnio in August. He is the better striker, averaging 4.59 significant strikes per minute. All of Rodriguez’s wins have finished inside the distance, and I expect this fight to end to do the same via KO/TKO. Awesemo’s projections give Rodriguez a 52% chance for a knockout with 69% win odds.
Roosevelt Roberts | DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $17
Roberts has a nasty submission game. He also has deceptive power in his hands, which will put his opponents lights out in a hurry, He will have height and boxing advantage. Roberts will dominate Kevin Croom everywhere and will look to get this fight to the mat, where he will look to finish Croom with a nasty guillotine. Awesemo’s UFC DFS Fighter projections give Roberts 51% win odds.
UFC DFS Value Picks
Ottman Azaitar | DraftKings: $7,700, FanDuel: $17
Azaitar is a tough and fearless fighter. He also is extremely dangerous when he gets hurt. Azaitar has eight knockouts including four in a row, he has displayed brutal power, fast hands, and precision striking over his last several bouts. He has solid takedown defense and hard to hold down on the canvas. Azaitar has 44% win odds, with 31% chance for a knockout according to Awesemo’s Top Fighter Tool.
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