Big Machine Hand Sanitizer NASCAR DFS Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel

The field is set for Sunday’s Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 at Indianapolis Sunday with Joey Logano on the pole. Thus, let’s break down the top NASCAR DFS plays for cash and tournament purposes on DraftKings and FanDuel.


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NASCAR DFS Lineup Construction for DraftKings and FanDuel

As I eluded to in Thursday’s preview, on Fanduel, we’re looking at a single dominator build. With expectations for this race to play out like the 2019 version, we should see one driver eat up the majority of laps led. However, with only 160 laps, just 16 laps led points are on the board. Therefore, going for a balanced lineup with just a single lap leader makes sense on FD.

On DraftKings, we failed to see soft pricing that mirrored that of last Saturday’s Pocono race. While several drivers did see price bumps, the increases were nothing too dramatic. Thus, in cash games on DraftKings, I would still stick with a single-dominator lineup. However, in tournaments, you can build a dual-Hog lineup. Going with two dominators won’t set you back more than a maximum of $21,700. That still leaves you plenty of flexibility to fill out your four remaining spots.


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The Front Row

Joey Logano 1st ($12,500 FanDuel, $9,200 DraftKings) – Logano is an enigma of sorts this weekend. Since the return to racing at Darlington, he has no finish higher than 4th (Martinsville). At Pocono last weekend, Logano was bad DFS chalk finishing 36th on Saturday and 24th on Sunday. When you combine the 4 Pocono races from 2019 and 2020 with last year’s Indy race, his average finish is 16.4 with just one top-five.

However, Logano has what no other driver will have at the start – clean air. Track position and clean air are going to be decided advantages on Sunday. All Logano has to do is beat Kurt Busch off the line (no easy task) and it should be smooth sailing. For what its worth, that 1 top-5 I mentioned above was 2nd last year at Indianapolis.

Kurt Busch 2nd ($9,200 FanDuel, $7,500 DraftKings) – Last Sunday, my 60% Kurt Busch ownership looked good early. In the non-preferred groove, Busch easily took the lead past Austin Dillon on the initial green flag. In the subsequent restarts, Busch continued to start in the non-preferred groove and still beat whoever restarted 2nd.

Into the green flag run, Busch did lose the lead to a faster Ryan Blaney. That would be our concern Sunday with Busch just the same. Perhaps he beats Joey Logano into the first or second turn and leads a portion of the race. However, does he gain enough dominator points to help offset the place differential he’s bound to lose? It didn’t happen last Sunday and I have my doubts it happens this Sunday.

If deciding between these two as potential lap leaders I would definitely side with Logano. Especially as a cash play on DraftKings.

Potential NASCAR DFS Lap Leaders

Denny Hamlin 6th ($13,700 FanDuel, $10,100 DraftKings) – Hamlin’s finishes ever since he threatened to wreck Corey Lajoie; 1st, 4th, 2nd, and 1st. Perhaps Lajoie has lit a fire under Hamlin as he attempts to prove success is more than just the vehicle? Or, it could just be that the revised schedule has put Hamlin in consecutive race tracks he excels at?

Regardless of motivation or skill, let’s continue to ride out this momentum with Hamlin as he returns to a track he’s had success at over the past 6 years.  The 2017 wreck-filled Indy race was the only time since 2014, Hamlin finished outside of the top-10. Now he comes off 2nd and 1st place finishes at Pocono with a crew chief who knows exactly how to have this car running out of the hauler.

Kevin Harvick 11th ($14,200 FanDuel, $11,000 DraftKings) – If we’re using Pocono as our best NASCAR DFS corollary, then our eyes should be on Harvick too. After trailing Aric Almirola for much of Saturday, Harvick took the lead with a superior pit crew late in the race. Harvick would have won Sunday too if not for Hamlin and his own pit crew. As far as Indianapolis, Harvick owns the best average finish (3.7) and average running position (6.1) in the field over the past 3 years here.

NASCAR DFS Tournament Dominator Options

Much like last weekend, the majority of my lineups are going to be focused around some combination of Logano (i.e. the pole sitter), Hamlin, and or Harvick. If looking to get away from what should be the three chalkiest drivers with lap leading potential, we have to go back to 2018 Indianapolis winner Brad Keselowski and his fellow Penske teammate Ryan Blaney. Penske’s entire stable of drivers (NASCAR, Indy) has enjoyed success on the bricks.

The big roster decision is whether to play Kyle Busch or not. We can feel assured that once the 18 team starts getting practice sessions in that Busch should be back to his typical form. So, can we consider Pocono as practice laps for Indianapolis? Or, did we witness that on Sunday when Busch was running well before getting wrecked by Ryan Blaney? I’m leaning on the side of waiting until the drivers get to practice and not relying on a past track as potential practice for this one.

GPP Place Differential Options

Sometimes I think this “random draw” system is rigged like professional wrestling. It’s another week and look who’s starting near the back? Oh, it’s Christopher Bell once again… Consequently, reacting to this starting position, Bell gets the DraftKings bump back up to $11,500. On FanDuel, Bell is a slam dunk in cash and tournaments costing only $8400.

Yet, on DraftKings, his salary makes us ask does he have another top-5 finish in him? Bell managed to pull this off last Saturday by finishing 4th. However, he followed that up with a 39th place finish on Sunday. This will be Bell’s first Cup race at Indianapolis but he does have two Xfinity starts, with a best finish of 7th in 2018. The potential is here but remember to pay off his salary on DraftKings he absolutely needs a top-5.

Speaking of salary bumps, did you notice that Erik Jones finally got priced where he should have been weeks ago? DraftKings finally got Jones out of the Ricky Stenhouse Jr/ Ryan Newman zone and priced him up to $8,100. Jones continues to be a talented driver with erratic finishes, not all his fault, that will either get you a top-5 or DNF. 2 years ago he finished 2nd at Indianapolis, however, he wrecked out last year finishing 39th. Eerily similar to the 2 Pocono races last weekend.

Cash Place NASCAR DFS Differential Options

Like Pocono, I have no problem going a little further up the starting grid for your place differential options in cash. Passing will be tough and will generally only happen on pit road or on restarts. Therefore, getting points via finishing position may be easier to come by than actual place differential. That being said, the “random draw” did give us a few picks in the 30s we can’t ignore.

First, we have Cole Custer starting 30th. Custer didn’t wow anyone with finishes of 16th and 17th but that’s the point. He managed to keep his car clean, pick up spots when and where he could, and finish in the top-20 on both days. Consistency matters in cash and that’s what he offers us at just $6,600 on FanDuel and $6,300 on DraftKings. The other name, sure to be the chalk play under $6,000 on DK, is Ryan Preece starting 36th. This far back, Preece offers the safest floor of any driver.

While priced up, a staple of my lineups will be Clint Bowyer starting 22nd. Bowyer’s knack of late has been long/ flat venues. He has back to back 5th place finishes here at Indianapolis. Furthermore, Bowyer brought home back to back top-10 finishes at Pocono last weekend. Now with his starting position, he offers lots of place differential upside and the potential to finish in the top-5 once more.


Related NASCAR DFS Content

Phill Bennetzen is the creator of the RaceSheets; all-inclusive stats and data NASCAR DFS spreadsheets for the Trucks, Xfinity, and Cup Series. Phill and the RaceSheets can be found at racesheetsdfs.substack.com

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