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NASCAR DFS: Federated Auto Parts 400 Cash and Tournament Picks

Phillip Bennetzen

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NASCAR fantasy picks this week for NASCAR DFS DraftKings and FanDuel lineups Toyota Owners 400 Richmond Raceway

Following Martin Truex Junior’s win over Joey Logano at Las Vegas, we head back East. As in flipping the continent to North Carolina from the desert of Nevada. The second race of the playoff’s first round takes place Saturday night under the lights of Richmond for the Federated Auto Parts 400. Let’s get into some NASCAR DFS Picks.

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Track Preview

If you’re reading this you should be fully aware of who and what Richmond is. Let’s face it, right now the only people left playing NASCAR DFS are actual NASCAR fans…

However, if you need a refresher or just lost your seat to CFB DFS and need to make bankroll back, buckle in.

A .75-mile D-shaped oval, RIR hosts two annual NASCAR Cup events. If you’d like a more in-depth preview, check out my article for April’s race. In that race breakdown, I detail trends dating back to 2013. Thus, whatever you would need to know is probably in that article. If, however, you need more don’t hesitate to check out the Race Sheets.

That is if you’re an Awesemo member. Now would be a great time to join Awesemo as the NFL season is just underway. Besides consuming our gobs of NFL content, Hockey is literally around the corner. Before long, the MLB playoffs will wrap up and the NBA season will commence. The PGA Swing Season is underway as well as the British Premiere League. Oh yeah, MMA and Tennis never stop.

Besides, now that all of the sharks who play NASCAR have left for NFL, cashing in NASCAR has gotten that much easier. It’s amazing what happens in tournaments when guys with max entry bankroll no longer play.

Richmond In The Spring

So, if we’re not going to needlessly rehash five years worth of racing data, what will we review? It seems appropriate to instead isolate this past April’s Richmond race. Don’t forget, April is the only race we have at Richmond under the 750 HorsePower package running at “short” tracks this season.

The story of the 750 HP package has been if you want to lead, you need to start upfront. That’s precisely what occurred as our top three lap leaders came off the grid 5th, 3rd, and 4th. Another characteristic of this package has been the limited possibility of passing. While results seemed skewed thanks to wonky starting positions (post-qualifying technical inspections), only two drivers who finished inside the top-ten started outside of the top fifteen. Namely, Denny Hamlin (failed tech) from 30th and Ryan Newman from 24th.

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Cautions wise, it was a pretty clean race for Richmond. Throwing out stage breaks and the competition caution, that race only saw two yellow flags. One for Kyle Larson on lap 125 and the other for Michael McDowell on lap 240. Coincidentally, those drivers were the only two to fail to finish the race.

Finally, if I gave you one guess as to who the winner was you’d probably nail it. In true, afternoon to night racing fashion, Martin Truex Junior came alive leading 186 laps en route to victory.

Toyota Owners 400 Loop Data

Driver Driver Rating Start Finish High Low Avg % T15 Laps Led Fast Laps Laps
Martin Truex Jr 138.9 5 1 1 21 2 98.8 186 34 400
Joey Logano 125 3 2 1 11 3 100 52 45 400
Clint Bowyer 112.8 14 3 2 17 5 99.8 0 21 400
Kevin Harvick 119.5 1 4 1 7 4 100 30 50 400
Denny Hamlin 88.7 30 5 5 30 14 68.5 0 8 400
Austin Dillon 98.5 6 6 5 24 9 98.8 0 11 400
Brad Keselowski 107 8 7 1 24 5 98.8 31 18 400
Kyle Busch 108.7 4 8 1 26 7 86.3 101 55 400
Ryan Newman 79.3 24 9 6 26 15 52.8 0 3 400
Paul Menard 92 9 10 4 16 9 99.8 0 1 400
Kurt Busch 97.4 2 11 2 14 8 100 0 5 400
Jimmie Johnson 74.4 34 12 8 34 15 62.3 0 4 400
William Byron 83.5 13 13 7 18 13 94.3 0 4 400
Erik Jones 77.3 35 14 6 35 15 62.8 0 9 400
Chase Elliott 66.9 32 15 9 32 19 21.8 0 2 400
Ricky Stenhouse Jr 68.9 11 16 9 26 17 24.3 0 2 400
Alex Bowman 73.5 12 17 2 22 15 48 0 3 399
Daniel Suarez 80.8 33 18 4 33 14 62.8 0 20 399
Daniel Hemric 58.8 17 19 8 25 20 10.5 0 0 399
Ryan Preece 51.8 16 20 10 30 24 0.5 0 0 399
Ty Dillon 59.5 23 21 7 25 20 1.5 0 0 398
Chris Buescher 74.6 7 22 4 24 13 59 0 2 398
Aric Almirola 64.8 31 23 12 31 19 24.5 0 3 398
Matt DiBenedetto 48.5 20 24 19 30 25 0 0 1 398
Ryan Blaney 53.3 22 25 4 26 22 0.8 0 3 398
Corey LaJoie 41 21 26 20 31 28 0 0 4 396
Darrell Wallace Jr 47.8 19 27 16 29 27 0 0 0 396
David Ragan 47.2 15 28 12 30 26 5.5 0 0 396
Matt Tifft 37.3 36 29 26 36 30 0 0 13 395
Ross Chastain 38.8 29 30 28 36 32 0 0 20 394
Jeb Burton 32.2 27 31 25 35 33 0 0 0 392
Bayley Currey 29.8 26 32 26 36 33 0 0 0 392
Joey Gase 27.2 37 33 33 37 34 0 0 3 387
Quin Houff 25.9 28 34 28 37 35 0 0 1 386
Landon Cassill 36.8 25 35 20 36 33 0 0 11 322
Michael McDowell 38.2 18 36 18 31 31 0 0 0 240
Kyle Larson 50 10 37 10 31 31 18.5 0 2 125

 

Roster Construction

We could run through the optimal lineup from this past Spring but it may just be noise. In fact, it is noise. As you may remember, technical inspection occurred Saturday before the race. In total, eight cars failed and lost their starting position. Three of those cars scored enough place differential to land in the optimal lineup. This, in turn, meant only one of our dominators (Truex) was actually optimal based on point per dollar scoring.

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Well, unfortunately, here we are again with post-race inspection.

As the season has trudged along, we’ve seen fewer and fewer cars fail tech. The stakes are just too high to fail tech and have to march through the field. Thus, I expect no one to fail but I could be wrong. Desperation might provoke a driver like Erik Jones (16th) and his crew chief to get too aggressive with their set up and consequently fail.

Richmond Race Sheets

Thus, as I typically do in these races, the Race Sheets are posted below with tiers highlighted. These will be adjusted as the inspection takes place so be sure to check back Saturday afternoon. Final roster construction game theory will be laid out in slack once the field is set.

Dominators = orange. Cash Place Differential = green. GPP Place Differential = blue. Punts = pink.

Phill Bennetzen is a father, husband, and Catholic as well as a self-professed annoying fitness guy. Phill heads up NASCAR content at Awesemo.com. You can contact Phill by emailing [email protected].

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