NASCAR finished its West coast swing in the desert last week and heads back East to take on 500 miles on the rough surface of Atlanta Motor Speedway for the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. Joe Gibbs Racing teammates Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr, last week’s winner at Phoenix, will lead the field into turn one on Sunday. With that being said, let’s dive into this slate and discuss how we should approach this from a DraftKings and FanDuel perspective. Let’s get into some NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday’s race.
Folds of Honor 500 NASCAR DFS Strategy | DraftKings & FanDuel
The strategy for Atlanta isn’t anything out of the ordinary compared to most tracks, but the one element that makes this track stand out from the rest is it’s worn out racing surface. This track is extremely abrasive and will eat up tires rather quickly making it key for drivers to be able to manage their tires. If looking for other high-tire-wear venues to compare Atlanta to, look no further than a few weeks ago at Homestead-Miami Speedway, which is also a 1.5 mile track. NASCAR DFS players can also look to the Darlington and AutoClub races that took place last year to compare as well. When it comes to building lineups, this is the most laps we have had in a race so far this season. So dominator points are going to be as important as ever this week to get into our lineups. I would at the very least want to have two dominators in all of my lineups this weekend and I will have a decent amount with more than two as well.
Upper-Tier Driver Picks
Kyle Larson $10,400 DraftKings – $12,500 (6th)
As tempted as I was to write up Kevin Harvick here, I want to continue to ride the hot hand of Kyle Larson, who looks like he could very well have the car to beat this year. In the two 1.5-mile races we have had this year, Larson owns the best driver rating, most fast laps, best average finish and running position, and has finished inside the top-5 each time as well. The last time he raced at Atlanta in 2019 (missed 2020 due to a suspension) he led 142 laps starting in a similar position in seventh. Keep in mind, that was in the No. 42 car for Chip Ganassi Racing. Not that CGR is terrible equipment by any means, but it certainly isn’t what he has at Hendrick Motorsports in the No. 5 car now.
Ryan Blaney $9,200 DraftKings – $10,500 FanDuel (10th)
Not only is Blaney a potential dominator this weekend, but he’s too cheap on both sites as well. He’s only the ninth-most expensive driver over on DraftKings and FanDuel, which I think is a bargain for a driver of his caliber at a track type he excels at. YRB was straight money at the mile and a half tracks last season and had very strong runs at the high tire wear large ovals as well. I really like buying in on the price here and he’s very easy to fit in as a second or third dominator in your lineups on Sunday.
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Mid-Tier Driver Picks
Austin Cindric $8,600 DraftKings – $6,200 FanDuel (39th)
Cindric is an elite place-differential play on both sites this weekend, but he seems like an absolute layup over on FanDuel with his price tag being $2,400 cheaper. If you don’t know anything about Cindric, he’s a dominant force with Team Penske in the Xfinity Series and will be in Penske equipment for the cup race on Sunday in the No. 33 car. Now, we shouldn’t expect him to come out here and dominate and ride near the front with his Penske teammates, but a top-20 finish is certainly in the cards for him. And that would be more than enough to have a good fantasy day on both sites. The question on DraftKings is if you want to roster Cindric for the high floor, or take a chance on another dominator with a higher overall ceiling.
Tyler Reddick $8,400 DraftKings – $7,500 FanDuel (29th)
While he’s not starting as far back as Austin Cindric on Sunday, Reddick is still an elite place-differential play with higher finishing-position upside. He ran very well at the high-tire-wear venues last year and was obviously great at Homestead a few weeks ago, which is his bread and butter track. Looking at the numbers, he was typically a top-15 contender with top-10 upside most races. I do worry about his aggressiveness at times, especially at a high-tire-wear track, but outside of any issues he should be able to gain upwards of 15-20 spots on Sunday.
Value Driver Picks
Ryan Newman $7,100 DraftKings – $6,000 FanDuel (28th)
Newman is never an exciting pick to make in NASCAR DFS, but starting all the way back in 28th after an awful week last week at Phoenix, he certainly looks pretty appealing at Atlanta. The veteran has shown he’s still able to manage his tires well at these high-tire-wear venues and was a top-15 contender most races at similar track types. He even finished inside the top-10 a few weeks ago at Homestead. The past two years at Atlanta he’s finished inside the top-15 and I see no reason to believe he can’t finish in a similar range once again this Sunday.
Anthony Alfredo $5,500 DraftKings – $4,000 FanDuel (32nd)
It’s not that I want to go out of my way to roster Anthony Alfredo this week, but to roster multiple dominators in our lineups this weekend, we’re going to have to dive into this range to make it work in some lineups. Alfredo has shown top-25 ability already at the 1.5-mile tracks this year and I think that’s a very likely finishing range for him this week. I personally think he’s a tad bit underpriced for his starting position this week and I assume he’ll be the popular cheap driver of the week.
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