📽️ NBA DFS Picks: The Tip Off, Deeper Dive & Live Before Lock 4 p.m. ET | 3/4/21

The nine-game Thursday night slate is looking like a great night of NBA DFS action. With all the games on the slate and plenty of news to digest, the only way to keep tabs on all the information you need to take down DraftKings NBA and FanDuel NBA GPPs is to use the tools and data from the site, along with all the latest news and analysis live on our shows. The gang is coming to you live for an extended Tipoff + Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock that will start early and run past lock to cover the SuperDraft slate to help you make the best NBA DFS picks!

First up is our new NBA DFS and betting show, The Tip-Off, with Kayla Knierim, Greg Ehrenberg and Ben Rasa. Then, Alex “Awesemo” Baker and Adam “ShipMyMoney” Scherer bring you the best NBA DFS picks on the Deeper Dive Show for Monday night. Finally, Chris Spags and Terry McBride count you down to lock with late news and strategy for daily fantasy basketball on DraftKings and FanDuel for Feb. 26. After lock, stick around for the best picks from our sponsor, SuperDraft on an extended extra half hour!

.flexCardMKT { margin:auto; width:95%; display: flex; flex-wrap: no-wrap; align-items: center; justify-content: space-between; background-color: #ffffff; border-radius:5px; border:1px solid #f4f4f4; box-shadow:0px 0px 5px #838383; padding:0px; } @media all and (max-width:700px) { .flexCardMKT { display:block; } } .flexElementMKT { text-align: center; padding:5px 5px 5px 5px; } #flexImageMKT { flex-basis:25%; } .testImgMKT { max-width:100%; border-radius: 5px; } #testTextMKT { font-family:Roboto; font-size:18px; font-weight:500; padding:10px; align-self:center; flex-basis:55%;} .testButtonMKT { background:#09b27e; font-family:roboto; font-weight:500; color:white; font-size:16px; border-radius:5px; border-color:#0D8E66; padding:5px 14px 5px 14px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px #a4a4a4; margin:10px; } #testButtonMKT {flex-basis:20%} .testButtonMKT:hover { -webkit-transition: .1s; -moz-transition: .1s; -ms-transition: .1s; -o-transition: .1s; transition: .1s; background:#07C88C; font-family:roboto; color:white; font-size:16px; border-radius:5px; border-color:#09b27e; padding:6px 15px 6px 15px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px #1f2938; cursor:pointer; }
 
Get a $100 Deposit Bonus
Sign-up Now Using Promo Code STOKASTIC2

NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | March 4


Latest NBA DFS Content


Daily Fantasy Basketball Tools

NBA Projections

Our NBA DFS projections are managed by Alex Baker and updated throughout the day as more information becomes available up until the last game tips. Projections are an integral part of a winning process for NBA DFS and using Awesemo’s projections provide you a system that’s proven to win money in tournaments over several seasons of action.

NBA Rankings

These NBA Rankings rankings for fantasy points and value are derived directly from my own fantasy NBA projections. Roster players with solid value rankings and spend most, if not all of your salary to build competitive lineups for your leagues.

.flexCardMKT { margin:auto; width:95%; display: flex; flex-wrap: no-wrap; align-items: center; justify-content: space-between; background-color: #ffffff; border-radius:5px; border:1px solid #f4f4f4; box-shadow:0px 0px 5px #838383; padding:0px; } @media all and (max-width:700px) { .flexCardMKT { display:block; } } .flexElementMKT { text-align: center; padding:5px 5px 5px 5px; } #flexImageMKT { flex-basis:25%; } .testImgMKT { max-width:100%; border-radius: 5px; } #testTextMKT { font-family:Roboto; font-size:18px; font-weight:500; padding:10px; align-self:center; flex-basis:55%;} .testButtonMKT { background:#09b27e; font-family:roboto; font-weight:500; color:white; font-size:16px; border-radius:5px; border-color:#0D8E66; padding:5px 14px 5px 14px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px #a4a4a4; margin:10px; } #testButtonMKT {flex-basis:20%} .testButtonMKT:hover { -webkit-transition: .1s; -moz-transition: .1s; -ms-transition: .1s; -o-transition: .1s; transition: .1s; background:#07C88C; font-family:roboto; color:white; font-size:16px; border-radius:5px; border-color:#09b27e; padding:6px 15px 6px 15px; box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px #1f2938; cursor:pointer; }
 
Get a $100 Deposit Bonus
Sign-up Now Using Promo Code STOKASTIC2

NBA Boom/Bust Tool

In all DFS sports, being able to compare the strength of a player each day versus their popularity is key to success. In NBA, correlations between players are less valuable so the strength of each play can be considered individually. For each player, I calculate the standard deviation based on a variety of factors and use that to calculate the ceiling (75th-percentile performance) the floor (25th-percentile performance) and the probability that they will bust (not meeting value) or boom (value plus 10 points). Combining these metrics, you will be able to gain an edge on everyone by identifying under-owned or over-owned players.

NBA Ownership Projections

Initial ownership percentages are posted daily by 1:00 p.m. EST and are updated every two hours throughout the day with a final update occurring 30 minutes before lock. Note that last-minute injury reports will impact not only the injured players’ or their replacements’ ownership, but can affect overall roster construction and therefore, every other player on the slate.


Follow us on all of our social channels! Check out our Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube for more great Awesemo content.

Looking for more NBA DFS strategy and NBA DFS picks content? We have loads of NBA daily fantasy basketball articles, data, DraftKings and FanDuel cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo NBA home page. Just click HERE.

Author
I'm a wannabe athlete whose athletic career ended after a long tenure riding the bench through JV baseball. The fantasy sports and sports betting degen side of me blossomed at age 12 when I found fantasy baseball and football, and led to a 12-year submergence into the poker scene -- I started playing "secret" cash games in my parents' basements by age 14. Luckily, I've finally found what I love to do -- write about "fake sports," which my girlfriend refers to it as, though it only took me until age 30. If you decide you like the words I write and follow me on Twitter (@nd_joyce), I apologize in advance for the copious amounts of dog photos you will see.

Premium Data

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics

Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.