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NBA Fantasy: Boom Bust Tool Projections for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups Today | 11/14/21




With only five games on the main slate for NBA fantasy tonight, it’ll be more of a laid-back slate, while most people focus their energy on football. While there are only a few games, there appears to be a decent amount of injury news. The Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page will give you breaking news when starters are announced as well as a full injury report on players who might be missing in action. Below are some NBA daily fantasy options that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.

NBA Fantasy Projections & Optimal Lineup Picks Tonight

Top Boom Candidates

C.J.McCollum: $7,600 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel | 37.7% DraftKings Boom/41.9% FanDuel Boom

Star point guard Damian Lillard has been ruled out for tonight with an abdominal injury. Clearly, this points to a massive performance from C.J. McCollum. With Lillard off the floor this season, McCollum has seen a 4.6% usage bump, raising him to a team-high 31.9% usage. He averages well over an NBA fantasy point per minute in this scenario, and we should expect to see him do a lot with the ball in his hands tonight. The Awesemo Boom/Bust Tool gives McCollum a floor of around 35 NBA fantasy points tonight but a ceiling of over 48.

Anfernee Simons: $3,500 DraftKings/$4,200 FanDuel | 60.2% DraftKings Boom/37.4% FanDuel Boom

The Awesemo Boom/Bust Tool gives Anfernee Simons the highest “boom” percentage on DraftKings, where he is a nice $700 discount from his FanDuel pricing. While McCollum leads the way in usage without Lillard, Simons isn’t far behind, at 24.9%. Look for this backcourt duo to hear their name said a lot in this game, and rack up fantasy points while doing it. Awesemo’s Projections expect Simons to play 32.5 minutes tonight, making him one of the safest plays of the day.

Nikola Jokic: $11,600 DraftKings/$11,000 FanDuel | 23.9% DraftKings Boom/29.8% FanDuel Boom

Of the elite tier players tonight, Nikola Jokic has the highest “boom” percentage on both sites. A big reason for this is Michael Porter Jr. being ruled out of the game today due to a back injury. With Porter off the floor this season, nobody has seen a larger usage bump than Jokic, who increases by 3.6%, which gives him an average usage rate of 34.1%. With Porter off the floor, Jokic averages over 2.1 NBA fantasy points per minute. The Awesemo Boom/Bust Tool gives Jokic a ceiling of over 60 fantasy points, which is the highest of the day.

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Top Bust Candidates

Nicolas Batum: $5,600 DraftKings/$6,300 FanDuel | 55.8% DraftKings Bust/66.8% FanDuel Bust

While Nicolas Batum was surprisingly strong to begin this season, he is beginning to slow down now. A big reason for this is the team as a whole is beginning to gel and play off of each other better, taking the ball out of Batum’s hand more often. He has posted a usage rate under 11% in three of his past five games. While last game was his only poor performance, and it was due to a blowout win, the combination of his price raising and usage falling over the past week is a not what we want to see. While he may not completely sink your lineup, Batum is more likely to be a bust than turn in a great performance, especially given the matchup against Chicago. The Awesemo Boom/Bust Tool gives Batum a ceiling of only 30 points today.

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Looking for more NBA DFS strategy and the best free NBA DFS tools? Check out our NBA DraftKings rankings for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own NBA DFS projections. View our Yahoo! ownership projections, our FanDuel ownership projections and our DraftKings ownership. We also have DraftKings NBA rankings, FanDuel NBA ownership rankings and Yahoo! NBA rankings for today's slate. Our basketball DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.

Zach Brunner is the founder of FlurrySports and a featured sports betting and fantasy sports expert for numerous outlets. With an education in business, coaching and history education, he has taken a little bit from all of his experiences to give him a well-rounded, unique point of view in the sports industry. Follow him on Twitter @FantasyFlurry to keep up with other things he is doing.

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