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NBA Fantasy: Boom Bust Tool Projections for DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Today 11/19




For Friday night, DFS players get a nine-game slate to attack. With 18 teams in action, NBA fantasy lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel will be flush with high-level talent and value plays. The Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page will provide breaking news when starters are announced as well as a full injury report on players who might be missing in action. Below are some NBA daily fantasy options that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.

NBA Fantasy Projections & Optimal Lineup Picks Tonight

Boom: Jalen Brunson: $6,700 DraftKings/$6,500 FanDuel

52% DraftKings Boom/47.7% FanDuel Boom

Luka Doncic (knee/ankle) will be inactive tonight, keeping Brunson as a core play for all formats. Replacing Doncic in the starting lineup Wednesday, Brunson flirted with a triple-double and finished with 42.25 DraftKings points in a season-high 36.5 minutes against the Suns. In the 188 minutes he has played with Doncic off the court this season, Brunson’s usage and assist rates have jumped 5.7 and 14 percentage points, respectively, resulting in a strong 1.22 DraftKings points per minute. Plus, in the seven full games Doncic has missed over the last two seasons, Brunson is contributing 33.2 DraftKings points per game.

Tonight Brunson gets a rematch with the Suns, and Awesemo is projecting Brunson for 34.9 minutes of work. Phoenix ranks seventh in pace, and Brunson’s prop lines on BetMGM are 17.5 points, 6.5 assists and 5.5 rebounds. This is already 32.25 DraftKings points before defensive stats and bonuses, and Brunson has a slate-leading boom score for both DraftKings and FanDuel tonight, according to Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool.

For even more on Brunson’s value status — and an even deeper look behind the Awesemo premium value rankings — check out Zach Brunner’s best NBA DFS Value Picks article for Friday’s slate.

Boom: Josh Hart: $5,400 DraftKings/$5,200 FanDuel

29.7% DraftKings Boom/29.6% FanDuel Boom

Hart is far too cheap for his large role with the Pelicans. Excluding when he was ejected against the Thunder last Wednesday, Hart is averaging 34.4 DraftKings points in 36.7 minutes per game across his last five. No player on New Orleans has seen more playing time than Hart in these games, and he is also shooting the ball at a terrific 60% clip during this stretch. The Pelicans will be hosting the Clippers this evening, and this matchup’s total is the second highest on the slate (215.5 points). Furthermore, the spread is only 3.5 points in favor of Los Angeles, and this should be a fast-paced setting, with the Clippers ranking eighth in pace. Hart is a strong bet for over 30 fantasy points in this environment and is rating as a top-10 value for both DraftKings and FanDuel.

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Boom: Fred VanVleet: $8,100 DraftKings/$8,400 FanDuel

21.7% DraftKings Boom/14.5% FanDuel Boom

Last night, with O.G. Anunoby (hip) sidelined, VanVleet posted 45.5 DraftKings points in a brutal matchup with the Jazz thanks to a season-high 28% usage rate. In all the time VanVleet has been on the floor without Anunoby this season, he has seen a 5.3-percentage-point increase to his usage. Anunoby will remain inactive tonight, and this meeting with the Kings presents the highest total on slate (221 points). The Raptors play at the fourth-slowest pace, while the Kings are the sixth-fastest unit in the league. In this uptempo spot, Toronto’s implied team total ranks sixth on the slate (108.8 points). VanVleet is an excellent combination of safety and upside in this projected shootout and is rating as one of the best high-end values for DraftKings tonight.

Your Ol’ Pal EMac is also high on VanVleet tonight in his matchup against the Kings, which he explains further in his NBA DFS Building Blocks today.

Boom: Bruce Brown: $4,200 DraftKings/$4,700 FanDuel

25.6% DraftKings Boom/21.7% FanDuel Boom

Brown has been the primary beneficiary with Joe Harris (ankle) out. In these past two with Harris missing, Brown has averaged 31.6 DraftKings points in 27.31 minutes per game. His fantasy production upgrades to 0.85 DraftKings points per minute sans Harris this season, and Brown has been a menace on the defensive end recently, averaging 2.6 defensive stats a night in his last five games. With Harris already ruled out for Friday, Awesemo is projecting Brown for 30.9 minutes against a Magic defense that ranks 26th in efficiency. In this spot, the Nets implied total is the second highest on the slate (113.5 points).

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For his current role, Brown is vastly underpriced right now, and he is a very appealing cheap way to gain exposure to the Nets tonight. For both DraftKings and FanDuel, Brown is rating as a top-10 value on the slate.

Update: Kevin Durant (shoulder) was a late add to the injury report and has been ruled out for Friday, further solidifying Brown’s role. Additionally, James Harden becomes one of the top pay up options on the slate. With Durant, Harris and Kyrie Irving (personal) all off the floor over the last two seasons, Harden’s usage has skyrocketed 7.1 percentage points and he has produced 1.7 DraftKings points per minute. 

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Our basketball DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. Check out our DFS basketball rankings for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own NBA FanDuel projections. View our DraftKings NBA ownership projections, our FanDuel NBA ownership and our Yahoo! NBA ownership. We also have Yahoo! rankings, FanDuel rankings and DraftKings ownership rankings for today's slate. Looking for more NBA DFS tools and the top NBA DFS picks tonight?
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