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NBA Fantasy: Boom Bust Tool Projections for DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Today 11/22




For Monday night, DFS players get a massive 10-game slate to attack. With 20 teams competing, NBA fantasy lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel will be flush with high-level talent and value plays. The Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page will provide breaking news when starters are announced as well as a full injury report on players who might be missing in action. Below are some NBA daily fantasy options that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.

NBA Fantasy Projections & Optimal Lineup Picks Tonight

Boom: Tobias Harris: $8,100 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel

28% DraftKings Boom/33.6% FanDuel Boom

Monday’s 76ers – Kings matchup is without question one of the best games of the night to target. Both these defenses rank in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency, resulting in this game’s total being the highest on the slate (222 points). Furthermore, the Kings are only 2.5-point favorites, which is the second-smallest spread on the board, and this is big pace upgrade for Philadelphia. The Kings are the eighth-fastest team in the league, compared to the 76ers, who are the second slowest.

Most importantly, the 76ers are still without Joel Embiid (health protocols) and Ben Simmons (personal). Since the start of last season, Harris’ usage and assist rates have increased 6.4 and 6.1 percentage points, respectively, with Embiid and Simmons off the floor. Harris averages 1.23 DraftKings points per minute sans the two All-Stars and has a ceiling near 50 DraftKings points tonight according to Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool. Harris a great option on both sites, but with his ownership expected to stay under 10% on DraftKings, Harris is a must-have for GPPs.

Update: Due to a hip injury, Harris is now unlikely to play tonight, leaving the Sixers’ extremely thin. With Harris, Embiid, Simmons and Danny Green (hamstring) all unavailable, Georges Niang should play huge minutes and now owns the highest Boom score on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel. Awesemo is projecting the forward for 34.2 minutes and in the five contests Niang has logged at least 30 minutes this season, he is producing 28.9 DraftKings points per game. Also, Tyrese Maxey should benefit from an increased workload. Embiid and Harris have missed two tilts together this season, and Maxey was outstanding in their absences, scoring 45.75 DraftKings points per game. Lastly, Shake Milton is a candidate to start, but either way, the guard needs to be considered with the Sixers so depleted. When Embiid, Simmons, Harris and Green have been off the floor since the start of last season, Milton has generated 1.1 DraftKings points per minute with a team-high 28.8% usage rate. 

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Boom: Deandre Ayton: $7,100 DraftKings/$7,700 FanDuel

26.7% DraftKings Boom/17.8% FanDuel Boom

After tallying 37 DraftKings points in last night’s blowout win over the Nuggets, Ayton’s salary on DraftKings has dropped $400. This season Ayton is averaging 1.2 DraftKings points per minute and has recorded at least 35 DraftKings points in seven of 10 starts. After a productive showing last night, Ayton gets an outstanding matchup against the Spurs. Both Phoenix and San Antonio rank inside the top six in pace this season, and this game’s total is the third highest on the slate (221 points). Additionally, the Suns’ implied team total is the third largest of the night (113.3 points), and the Spurs are very vulnerable inside, giving up the eighth-most rebounds and fourth-most points in the paint. Ayton should have no issues outproducing this reasonable price tag and is one of the best values available for DraftKings this evening.

He was also popping in Awesemo’s NBA DFS lineup optimizer today, which has him showing up all over our DraftKings NBA DFS cheat sheet and FanDuel NBA DFS cheat sheet.

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Boom: Bobby Portis: $7,200 DraftKings/$6,300 FanDuel

17.5% DraftKings Boom/31.8% FanDuel Boom

For FanDuel tonight, Portis is extremely underpriced and needs to be a core play. He has been the Bucks’ starting center for the last eight games with Brook Lopez (back) on the shelf. With the first unit Portis is averaging 35 FanDuel points in 32 minutes per game, including four games over 40 FanDuel points. Lopez will remain sidelined Monday, and Portis gets a rematch with the Magic, against whom he just recorded a double-double worth 45 FanDuel points on Saturday.

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This season Orlando ranks 26th in defensive efficiency, and in this great spot the Bucks’ implied team total ranks second on the slate (115.8 points). Awesemo is projecting Portis for 30.5 minutes, and he is generating a 37.3 FanDuel points per game in the last 10 games in which he has cracked 25 minutes. At only $6,300 on FanDuel, Portis is rating as a top-five value of the night.

Bust: Donovan Mitchell: $8,500 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel

50.4% DraftKings Bust/50.2% FanDuel Bust

With the Jazz are 11-point home favorites over the Grizzlies tonight, Mitchell is a stud to avoid. Utah has beaten their opponents by an average of 23 points in their last three games, which has resulted in Mitchell only logging 28 minutes per game. Unsurprisingly, Mitchell has only provided 33 DraftKings points per game with the limited playing time in these blowouts. In the games that the Jazz have been double-digit favorites this season, Mitchell is only contributing 35.1 DraftKings points per game, which would be just a 4.1x return at his current DraftKings salary.

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Check out our NBA DraftKings rankings for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own best NBA DFS projections. View our Yahoo! NBA ownership, our DraftKings NBA ownership projections and our FanDuel NBA ownership projections. We also have FanDuel NBA rankings, DraftKings NBA ownership rankings and Yahoo! rankings for today's slate. Our daily fantasy basketball projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. Looking for more NBA DFS plays tonight and the best NBA DFS tools?
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