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NBA Fantasy: Boom Bust Tool Projections for DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Today 1/3

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Monday presents a 10-game slate, and with 20 clubs competing, NBA fantasy lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel will be flush with high-level talent and value plays. The Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page will provide breaking news when starters are announced as well as a full injury report on players who might be missing in action. Below are some NBA daily fantasy options that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.

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Boom: Anfernee Simons: $4,100 DraftKings/$3,700 FanDuel

60.7% DraftKings Boom/55.7% FanDuel Boom

Simons will return from a one-game absence tonight due to health protocols, but the Trail Blazers will be without Damian Lillard (abdomen) and C.J. McCollum (chest). Excluding Dec. 2 when Simons exited with a sprained ankle after only 10 minutes of work, he has played one full game without Lillard and McCollum this season. On that occasion Simons started at point guard and delivered 29 DraftKings points across 35.4 minutes against the Pistons. He should get another spot start Monday against the Hawks, and it is worth noting Jusuf Nurkic (doubtful, health protocols) is also expected to be unavailable for Portland.

In the 85 minutes Simons has played with these three starters off the floor this season, he has watched his usage skyrocket 9.3 percentage points to 31.1%. Awesemo is projecting Simons for 29.6 minutes against a Hawks defense that ranks 27th in defensive efficiency. This game’s total is the fourth highest on the slate (226 points), and in the 12 games he has eclipsed the 25-minute mark this season, Simons is averaging 26 DraftKings points per game. In Awesemo’s projections he is rating as a top-three value on the slate both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Boom: Bradley Beal: $10,400 DraftKings/$9,100 FanDuel

32.4% DraftKings Boom/40% FanDuel Boom

With Spencer Dinwiddie (health protocols) missing the past two, Beal has shifted over to point guard for the Wizards and produced 59.25 DraftKings points per game. Dinwiddie has been ruled out for Monday, and he has generated 1.21 DraftKings points per minute in in the 645 minutes Beal has played with Dinwiddie off the floor this season, mostly attributed to a 3-percentage-point increase to his assist rate.

On tap for Monday night is a gorgeous matchup with the Hornets, who rank second in pace and second-to-last in defensive efficiency. As a result, this game’s total is the highest on the slate (232.5 points), and the Wizards’ implied team total is the fifth highest (116.75 points). Additionally, Washington is only favorited by 1.5 points, which is the smallest spread of the night. Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool is giving Beal a ceiling near 60 fantasy points in this elite setting, and he is rating as the best value north of $9,000 for both DraftKings and FanDuel tonight.

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Boom: Daniel Gafford: $6,000 DraftKings/$6,100 FanDuel

35.3% DraftKings Boom/35.9% FanDuel Boom

Gafford is another outstanding value to attack from this projected shootout between the Wizards and Hornets. Montrezl Harrell (health protocols) will miss his fourth straight game tonight, and in these past three with him absent Gafford has thrived as the Wizards’ primary center, scoring 34.8 DraftKings points per game. He is averaging 1.1 DraftKings points per minute this season, and Awesemo is projecting him for 28.6 minutes tonight in this dream setting against the Hornets.

No team in the association has given up more rebounds per game than Charlotte this season, and Gafford’s props for tonight are 13.5 points, 10.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists on BetMGM. Including the DraftKings bonus for a double-double, this is already 28.5 DraftKings points before defensive stats are credited. Plain and simple, Gafford is far too cheap for his current role, and he has a top-10 boom score on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel in Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool.


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Boom: Tyus Jones: $4,000 DraftKings/$4,100 FanDuel

36.1% DraftKings Boom/32.9% FanDuel Boom

Tonight the Grizzlies will be without Dillon Brooks, De’Anthony Melton, Kyle Anderson and John Konchar due to health protocols, creating a direct path for Jones to see big minutes. Even with Anderson active and the other three missing this past Friday, Jones saw 28.4 minutes of action and recorded 34 DraftKings points in the win over the Spurs. With Anderson joining that group on the inactive list, Jones should crack 30 minutes Monday against the Nets.

Jones is contributing 1.1 DraftKings points per minute with those four players off the floor this season and has averaged 28 DraftKings points per game when he has logged at least 25 minutes. This date with the Nets should be an uptempo affair, with both Memphis and Brooklyn ranking in the top 10 in pace. This matchup’s total is the third highest on the slate (228 points), and Jones should have zero issues supplying over 5x value on both DraftKings and FanDuel. For both sites, he is rating as a top-five value in Awesemo’s projections.

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Our NBA projections DFS are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. We also have FanDuel ownership rankings, DraftKings rankings and Yahoo! rankings for today's slate. View our FanDuel ownership, our DraftKings ownership and our Yahoo! NBA ownership projections. Check out our NBA DFS rankings for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own basketball DFS projections. Looking for more NBA DFS plays today and the top NBA DFS picks for today?
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