NBA Daily Fantasy: DratKings Lineup Review Analyzing Winning Strategy

March started with a weird one. Joel Embiid was considered “very doubtful” but ended up starting, throwing a wrench in the plans of most, and especially 150-maxers. DraftKings’ main NBA Daily Fantasy GPP was the NBA $500K Finger Roll. $12 to enter, $100,000 to first. This GPP only filled 85% of seats, meaning we had some rare overlay and DraftKings actually lost $2,720 by running this tournament. We had quite a few low-owned lineups in the top 10, which is unusual. Let’s get right into the NBA daily fantasy lineup review.

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NBA Daily Fantasy DraftKings GPP Lineup Review | March 1

In this NBA DraftKings GPP, 41,440 total entries came from 13,905 different DFS players, 2,419 (17.4%) of which made a profit. There were 82.6% of DFS players who entered this GPP and lost money.

The Winner

Congratulations to clevelandforlife2017 for taking this GPP down with a 373. He entered 60 lineups, cashing 34 for a profit of $100,540.46. The winning lineup used all $50,000 salary and had a cumulative team ownership of 137.3%. The key in this lineup was value piece Nicolas Claxton, who supplied 30.25 fantasy points for $3,100 at 2.5% ownership. Paying up for the combination of James Harden, Nikola Jokic and LaMelo Ball forced value plays in all the other spots, and they all hit except for P.J. Dozier.

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Salary and Ownership

Eight of the top 50 finishers used less than $49,700. Here are the top salaries used last night:

$50,000 | 50%
$49,900 | 24%
$49,800 | 12%
$49,700 | 6%
$49,600 | 3%

The most popular optimal lineup was played 67 times, using all $50,000 team salary and having a cumulative team ownership of 196.5%. This lineup scored a 273.25 and did not cash.

The 150-Maxers

Sixty-nine 150-maxers played last night, entering 10,350 lineups and making up 25% of entries in this tournament. Twenty-two made a profit, and nine cashed fewer than 20 lineups. All told, it was a poor showing for 150-maxers who topped out at 13th place with a 350.75. Ninth place went to someone with 149 lineups.

The most profitable 150-maxer was wicked_mumbles, who put up that 350.75 thanks to Luka Doncic, Jokic and Bojan Bogdanovic. He cashed 78 out of that ammo box of 150 (instead of a single bullet, right?) for a profit of $2,943.49.

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Miscellaneous

Boom of the slate goes to Carmelo Anthony, who put up 51.25 fantasy points (9.9x) for $5,200 at 3.4% ownership. Bust of the slate easily goes to P.J. Washington, who was the Boom of the Slate yesterday. Washington mustered up 9.75 fantasy points at $6,200 for the 48.1% of lineups that rostered him.

One hundred thirty-nine lineups were reserved and not played. The lowest-owned lineup that cashed (min-cashed) featured cumulative team ownership of only 25.8% and was actually played thrice by the same player:

The lowest-salary team that cashed (min-cashed) used $47,500 team salary:

The best single-entry lineup took fourth place with a 368:

The best lineup possible would have scored a 408.25 and would have won this GPP by 35.25 points:

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