Friday night is a very interesting slate, with all eight games presenting totals of at least 219 points. There are many injury situations to monitor closely, with two teams on the second half of a back-to-back, and five of Friday’s clubs right back in action tomorrow night. So be sure to keep checking back to Awesemo’s NBA DFS projections and daily fantasy basketball rankings when making NBA daily fantasy picks and lineups for both DraftKings and FanDuel this evening.
NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: Awesemo Grades | April 30
Center: Jusuf Nurkic
DraftKings Grades: B, Values: D
FanDuel Grades: B, Values: D
Nurkic has failed to provide value in back-to-back games, but both were extreme blowout wins that limited his playing time. In the previous two before this, the Trail Blazers were in two straight competitive games against the Grizzlies. And Nurkic did not disappoint, destroying Memphis for 56.75 DraftKings points in 29.1 minutes per game. Friday night is expected to deliver another very close game for Portland as 1.5-point favorites in Brooklyn. Additionally, this matchup is projected for the most points of Friday night by a wide margin. Its 240.5 total is the highest tonight by a whopping 13.5 points.
Without question, this Blazers – Nets matchup is the top game of the night to attack for fantasy purposes, and Nurkic is slated for sub-10% ownership levels on both DraftKings and FanDuel according to Awesemo’s NBA DFS ownership projections. Brooklyn’s interior defense is always a prime spot for opposing centers, and assuming there isn’t another blowout tonight, Nurkic should be a game-changer in GPPs.
NBA DFS Ownership Projection: DraftKings 8.8%, FanDuel 0.6%
Power Forward: Jeff Green
DraftKings Grades: C, Values: B
FanDuel Grades: C, Values: C
Green is overpriced on FanDuel but is a value that has to be considered at only $4,800 on DraftKings. With Nets head coach Steve Nash using more small-ball lineups, Green has been the team’s primary big man, logging 34.25 minutes per game in his last four. The stable playing time has resulted in 32.4 DraftKings points per game for Green, and with Brooklyn winning each of these past four, he should continue to garner a big role tonight, especially with Kevin Durant most likely unavailable on the second night of a back-to-back.
Durant played 36 minutes in last night’s win over the Pacers and hasn’t played two games in two nights since January. In the 286 minutes he has played without Durant and James Harden (out, hamstring) this month, Green had a team-high 3.6-point usage increase and contributed 0.92 DraftKings points per minute. Gamers are going to want as much exposure as possible to this huge total in Brooklyn, and Green is one of the better cheap ways to gain access at only $4,800 on DraftKings.
NBA DFS Ownership Projection: DraftKings 19.2%, FanDuel 2.8%
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Small Forward: Khris Middleton
DraftKings Grades: B, Values: D
FanDuel Grades: B, Values: C
Nothing is official yet, the Bucks should be without Giannis Antetokounmpo (questionable, ankle) tonight. He was dealing with a sprained right ankle heading into Thursday’s matchup in Houston and was forced out of the game only one minute in after re-injuring the ankle. Antetokounmpo never returned, and in his absence Middleton proceeded to record 52.5 DraftKings points against the Rockets. He finished with a 32.2% usage rate, and in all the minutes he has played sans Antetokounmpo this season, Middleton’s usage has been a team-best 31.9%.
He is collecting 42.7 DraftKings points per game in the 14 full games he has been without Antetokounmpo over the past two seasons, and Friday’s matchup against the Bulls is beautiful for small forwards. Over their last 10, Chicago has yielded the fourth-most DraftKings points per game to the position. If the likely situation unfolds that the Bucks hold out Antetokounmpo tonight, Middleton will be a core NBA daily fantasy pick for all formats Friday.
NBA DFS Ownership Projection: DraftKings 15.8%, FanDuel 32.0%
Power Forward: Anthony Davis
DraftKings Grades: A, Values: C
FanDuel Grades: A, Values: C
Tonight gamers have to take advantage of Davis still being priced as if he is severely limited. He has seen over 30 minutes in back-to-back games and is projected for 32.2 minutes tonight against the Kings, according to Awesemo’s NBA DFS projections. Against a Kings defense that ranks dead last in efficiency and has allowed the most points in the paint per game this season, this is plenty of time for Davis to beat his depressed salaries on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He supplied 44.75 DraftKings points against the Wizards on Wednesday, and his usage has been at a team-high 33.5% in his first four back from the calf injury with LeBron James (out, ankle) still sidelined.
This season Davis has produced 44.8 DraftKings points per game when he has cracked 30 minutes. He was supplying 53.4 DraftKings points per game when his usage eclipsed the 30% mark prior to missing 30 games with the strained calf. With most DFS players focusing on the early games of this slate, Davis is expected to carry minimal ownership on both DraftKings and FanDuel, making him an appealing late-night leverage target.
NBA DFS Ownership Projection: DraftKings 13.8%, FanDuel 12.4%
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