🏀 NBA Daily Fantasy Picks Picks Based on Awesemo Grades & Values | 3/2/21

Welcome back, everyone. Following one postponement, there are six NBA games on the schedule tonight, and below are some of my favorite NBA daily fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings based on Awesemo’s grades and values.

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NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: Awesemo Grades | March 2

Power Forward: Giannis Antetokounmpo

DraftKings Grades: A, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: A, Values: B

Antetokounmpo should be the first player you put in your lineups Tuesday. In the statement win against the Clippers on Sunday, Giannis was magnificent with 71.5 DraftKings points. This marked the Bucks’ fifth victory in a row, and Antetokounmpo has led the way with 67.75 DraftKings points per game during this win streak. As we saw Sunday, with Giannis logging a team-high 39 minutes, Mike Budenholzer has shown a willingness to let Antetokounmpo play huge minutes in competitive tilts this season.

In the 11 Bucks’ games that have been decided by single digits so far in 2020-21, Giannis has produced 62 DraftKings points with 36.4 minutes per game. Tuesday’s date with the Nuggets calls for a 7.5-point spread, and due to various key injuries, the Denver defense has allowed the eighth-most DraftKings points per game to opposing power forwards over their past 10. The over/under of this clash of MVP candidates sits at 234.5 points, and Antetokounmpo is guaranteed for at least 60 fantasy points.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 26.1%, FanDuel 32.2%

Point Guard: Derrick Rose

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: C

As the replacement starter for Elfrid Payton (doubtful, hamstring), Rose has played extremely well, helping the Knicks secure three straight wins. As the Knicks’ starting point guard, Rose has provided 34.1 DraftKings in 32.3 minutes per game and a solid 22.1% usage rate. The Knicks head to San Antonio tonight and are currently 1.5-points favorites against the Spurs. New York hasn’t played since Sunday, and they aren’t in action tomorrow, so Tom Thibodeau should have no issues letting Rose get above 30 minutes this evening.

The Spurs will be without numerous rotation players due the NBA’s health protocols, and they are coming off an overtime loss to the Nets just last night. Plus, San Antonio has been very susceptible to point guards this season, yielding the most DraftKings points per game to the position. Rose is reasonably cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel, and he brings a strong combination of safety and upside tonight. Rose has cracked the 30-minute mark 12 times over the past two seasons and is averaging 38.25 DraftKings points.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 22.1%, FanDuel 18.1%


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Center: Jonas Valanciunas

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: A

Valanciunas destroyed many of my lineups Monday night, scoring only 12.5 DraftKings points against the Rockets, but we have to put this in the past and not hold any grudges considering tonight’s matchup. Valanciunas will be facing a Wizards’ club that ranks first in pace and 25th in defensive efficiency. They are giving up the fourth-most rebounds per game, and centers have exposed them for the sixth-most DraftKings points per game across their last five.

At 236 points, this game’s total is the highest of this six-game slate, and their 118.5 point implied team total is a new season high for the Grizzlies. Valanciunas had surpassed 40 DraftKings points in back-to-back starts before Monday night, and this is an excellent time to buy low on the center.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 14.5%, FanDuel 20.4%

Center: Nerlens Noel

DraftKings Grades: C, Values: A

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: A

With Mitchell Robinson (out, hand) still out and Taj Gibson (out, ankle) missing Sunday night and only playing 3 minutes in the previous contest, Noel has been unlocked by Thibodeau. As the only true center left on this Knicks roster, Noel has seen over 40 minutes in each of these last two. The immense workload has translated to 29.75 DraftKings points per game for Noel, and considering the competitive atmosphere projected by Vegas tonight (Knicks -1.5), Noel should receive close 40 minutes against the Spurs.

As mentioned above, San Antonio is depleted right now, and their interior defense has been a mess all season. They are currently allowing the fifth-most DraftKings points per game to opposing centers, and this is a perfect spot for Noel to notch his first double-double of the season.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 29.9%, FanDuel 41.7%


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