NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Ownership Projections

Wednesday night should deliver some huge fantasy numbers, with three of these nine games boasting game totals above 235 points. More than half of tonight’s teams are still looking to secure a playoff spot or improve their spot in standings, and gamers need to be prepared for unexpected news given that three clubs are playing their second game in two nights and four teams are right back in action on Thursday. So be sure to be checking Awesemo’s NBA DFS rankings and projections for both DraftKings and FanDuel before making your NBA daily fantasy picks for this nine-game slate.

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NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: Awesemo Grades | May 5

Point Guard: Delon Wright

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: A

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: A

In the absences of De’Aaron Fox (health and safety protocols), Tyrese Haliburton (knee) and Harrison Barnes (groin), Wright earned his first start as a King last night and posted a near triple-double of 55 DraftKings points against the Thunder. The 36.4 minutes he gained as Sacramento’s starting point guard is the most playing time Wright has received since being acquired by the club at the trade deadline, and his role should remain plentiful with Fox, Haliburton and Barnes all out again Wednesday.

Take these three off the floor and Wright produces an excellent 1.24 DraftKings points per minute. He finds himself in another terrific matchup tonight against the Pacers. Indiana has ranked 19th in defensive rating over their last 10 while they deal with a slew of key injuries, but more importantly, they have been the fastest squad in the NBA during this stretch. Combine the Pacers’ uptempo game plan with the Kings’ league-worst defense, and this total is all the way up to 239.5 points. Wright should be the first player in your lineups tonight; he is rating as the No. 1 value for both DraftKings and FanDuel, via Awesemo’s NBA DFS projections.

NBA DFS Ownership Projection: DraftKings 27.8%, FanDuel 21.2%

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Power Forward: Giannis Antetokounmpo

DraftKings Grades: A, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: A, Values: B

After dealing with nagging injuries to his ankle and knee, Antetokounmpo has looked like his superstar self as of late. He and the Bucks just picked up two straight wins over the Nets, and the Giannis produced 67.25 DraftKings points in 36.5 minutes per game. Excluding last Thursday night when Antetokounmpo tweaked his ankle one minute into the loss against the Rockets, he has scored over 60 DraftKings points in five of his past six starts, and he is a lock to surpass this threshold with the Wizards in town on Wednesday. While they have improved on the defensive end, Washington still ranks third in pace across their last 10. This Eastern Conference showdown also carries a 243-point total, which is the high mark of this nine-game slate.

Antetokounmpo has 67.3 DraftKings points per game in games totaled over 240, and he is averaging 73.5 DraftKings points per game in a pair of matchups against the Wizards this season. The bottom line is both Antetokounmpo and Russell Westbrook are very underpriced for this marquee matchup, and we must build around the two studs in all formats.

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Point Guard: Kemba Walker

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: D

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: D

Stacking Antetokounmpo and Westbrook is far from a contrarian strategy tonight, so we need to mix in some low-owned players into our GPP lineups with the stars. Walker hasn’t been a popular DFS play by any means this season, and after missing the last four with an oblique injury, he is expected to go basically unowned on both DraftKings and FanDuel according to Awesemo’s NBA DFS ownership projections.

Following a full practice with no setbacks on Tuesday, Walker should be a full go tonight, and he has been considerably better when he has had extra rest in his favor. Walker doesn’t play both ends of back-to-backs this season, and when he has returned from a rest day, he has generated 39 DraftKings points per game. In addition to the fresh legs, Walker’s usage should be larger than usual since Jaylen Brown (ankle) unavailable. Walker sees a 5.1-point usage bump with Brown off the floor this season, which is the biggest increase on the Celtics, and this Magic defense he is going against rates as the seventh worst over their last 10. Walker should eclipse 40 fantasy points tonight and is worth going heavily overweight on in GPPs.

NBA DFS Ownership Projection: DraftKings 2.6%, FanDuel 0.4%

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Center: Richaun Holmes

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: A

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: B

Holmes’ inconsistent game log should keep his ownership depressed just in time for this mouthwatering matchup with the Pacers. On top of leading the NBA in pace over their last 10, Indiana has been horrible in the paint over this span, giving up 58.8 points and 53.1 rebounds per game. These are both league highs, and when the Kings met the Pacers back in January, Holmes went off for 47.5 DraftKings points.

His size and strength will be needed to match up with Domantas Sabonis, and Holmes is a sneaky and affordable way to attack this projected shootout in Indiana.

NBA DFS Ownership Projection: DraftKings 14.8%, FanDuel 9.6%

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