🏀 NBA Daily Fantasy Picks Picks Based on Awesemo Grades & Values | 2/25/21

Thursday night presents a star studded six-game slate, and below are some of my favorite NBA daily fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings based on Awesemo’s grades and values.

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NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: Awesemo Grades | Feb. 25

Point Guard: Russell Westbrook

DraftKings Grades: A, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: A, Values: A

Westbrook is currently playing his best basketball of the season, and we need to attack him tonight while the point guard remains affordable. In his last five starts, Westbrook has amassed 56.9 DraftKings points per game. As he regains his health and form, we have seen Westbrook handle big minutes recently, averaging 36.6 regulation minutes during this five-game stretch. In his first 17 contests of the season, he averaged 32.6 minutes per game. Furthermore, the point guard also been active for both legs of his last two back-to-back sets.

Prior to this, Westbrook hadn’t played two games in two nights this season. Clearly Westbrook is back to full strength, and his impressive play should continue Thursday when the Wizards visit the Nuggets. Due to multiple key injuries, this Denver defense has slipped to 25th in defensive rating over their last five, and this matchup’s total is all the way up to 237.5 points. Westbrook is a strong bet for a triple-double in this setting, and I don’t see any logic in fading him at sub-$10,000 price tags on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 13.8%, FanDuel 21.2%

Point Guard: Derrick Rose

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: A

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: A

Tuesday against the Warriors, Rose had his best outing in a Knicks uniform, posting 37.5 DraftKings points in 27 minutes off the bench. Now starting point guard Elfrid Payton (doubtful, hamstring) is expected to be inactive, opening the door for Rose to receive another large workload, possibly as a starter. Nonetheless, even if Rose remains a reserve, he should finish in the 25- to 30-minute range, and it doesn’t get much better than this matchup with the Kings, who are the worst defense this season in terms of efficiency.

Since being traded to the Knicks two weeks ago, Rose is averaging a 26.6% usage rate, which only trails All-Star Julius Randle over this time. With Payton absent, this number should grow even further, and Rose’s $4,600 price tag on DraftKings makes him a clear value for that site. Per Awesemo’s projections, Rose is the top point-per-dollar value available on DraftKings for this six-game slate.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 51.1%, FanDuel 23.8%


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Point Guard: Lonzo Ball

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: B

Ball is a very interesting way to differentiate yourself in GPPs tonight. Stan Van Gundy has been relying on Ball more than ever as of late, with Ball logging 36 minutes per game in his last four. To put this into perspective, this is nearly 6 more minutes a game than what the guard was averaging in his previous 10. His salary is at a low $6,300 on DraftKings right now, and for Ball to reach 5x value at this cost, he needs to record 31.5 DraftKings.

Considering that Ball will be competing in an absurdly high total of 242 points against the Bucks, he should easily surpass this threshold. This is the highest total he has been active for this season, but in Ball’s seven career games with totals over 240, he has produced 40.1 DraftKings points.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 11.9%, FanDuel 7.1%

Center: Nikola Jokic

DraftKings Grades: A, Values: A

FanDuel Grades: A, Values: A

Choosing which stud to prioritize tonight is difficult, but I think taking advantage of Jokic at lower price points than both Giannis Antetokounmpo and James Harden makes the most sense. With the Nuggets missing JaMychal Green (shoulder), Paul Millsap (knee), Gary Harris (thigh) and P.J. Dozier (hamstring) on Tuesday, Jokic’s usage hit a new season high of 41.7% against the Trail Blazers. He benefited from the extra responsibilities, scoring 58.25 DraftKings points, and he is now providing 57.4 DraftKings points per game for the month of February.

All of those Nuggets players I just mentioned won’t be able to suit up again tonight and the defensively challenged Wizards will be in town. They rank 27th in defensive efficiency and are giving up the fourth-most rebounds per game. Jokic bullied this same defense for 59.25 DraftKings points just last Wednesday, and the Nuggets boast an implied team total of 122.5 points tonight. This is the most points they have been slated for in 2020-21. In the seven Nuggets home games in which they’ve had implied totals of at least 115 points, Jokic has averaged 63.3 DraftKings points per game.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 34.1%, FanDuel 37.3%


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