NBA Daily Fantasy Picks Picks Based on Awesemo Grades & Values | 4/6/21

For Tuesday night, we have eight NBA games on the schedule, and below are some of the best NBA daily fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings based on Awesemo’s grades and values.

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NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: Awesemo Grades | April 6

PF Draymond Green

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: B

Green and Stephen Curry will be together in the Warriors’ lineup tonight, competing in an elite environment against the Bucks. Green benefits greatly from playing alongside Curry, scoring 1 DraftKings point per minute with Curry on the floor compared to only 0.76 with him off. Green produced 40.1 DraftKings points per game in the last five games where these two were active, against only 26.9 DraftKings points per game in the past five he has suited up for without Curry.

Tuesday night’s date with the Bucks carries the largest total of this eight-game slate at 237.5 points, and Milwaukee is only a 6.5-point favorite over the Warriors. When the spread has been single digits and the game total has been north of 230 points this season, Green has amassed 35.3 DraftKings points per game. His $7,500 salary on FanDuel makes him a better GPP target, but at only $6,700 on DraftKings, Green is one of the top values of the night in all formats.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 17.2%, FanDuel 10.8%

PG Stephen Curry

DraftKings Grades: A, Values: B

FanDuel Grades: A, Values: B

Stacking Curry and Green together is an excellent way to attack this slate-high total against the Bucks. Curry has been unstoppable in his last three starts, with 52.75 DraftKings points per game. His usage has been at a mammoth 37.3% during this run, and in the five game totals of at least 235 points Curry has been available for this season, he averaged 51.6 DraftKings points per game.

Curry and Green have the best correlation on the team, and rostering the combination of the two in the same lineup should be a contrarian strategy in GPPs.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 18.4%, FanDuel 28.2%

PG Malachi Flynn

DraftKings Grades: C, Values: A

FanDuel Grades: C, Values: C

At only $3,900 on DraftKings, Flynn is a tough value to pass up on this evening. In the last two with Kyle Lowry (foot) out and Fred VanVleet (hip) getting hurt and only logging 12 minutes of the first game, Flynn acted as the Raptors’ primary point guard, supplying 38.1 DraftKings points per game. Flynn didn’t start last night, but he had 33.8 minutes of work off the bench and was a huge part of the Raptors’ 103-101 come-from-behind win over the Wizards.

Starter or not, with Lowry and VanVleet absent again Tuesday night, Flynn has earned himself a minimum of 30 minutes for this matchup against the Lakers. In all the time the has played without these two starters plus Norman Powell and Terence Davis, Flynn has generated an efficient 1.05 DraftKings points per minutes and a 22% usage rate. The Lakers are the top-rated defense in the association, but his high volume trumps any concerns about the matchup.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 32.6%, FanDuel 6.2%

C Myles Turner

DraftKings Grades: B, Values: C

FanDuel Grades: B, Values: A

Domantas Sabonis missed Saturday’s victory against the Spurs, and there is a strong probability of him sitting again tonight. Luckily, this is the first game of the night to tip off, and if Sabonis is ruled out, Turner will be one of the top values of the night on both DraftKings and FanDuel. Albeit with an extra period for overtime, Turner posted 35.25 DraftKings points against the Spurs on Saturday night. When Sabonis is missing, Turner becomes Indiana’s primary big man, and not having to share the paint does wonders for his fantasy stock.

Whenever Turner has been on the court sans Sabonis this season, he has watched his usage increase 7 percentage points, and his assist and rebound rates 2.4 and 2.5 points, respectively. This equates to 1.3 DraftKings points per minutes, and this is a prime spot for Turner, facing a Bulls defense that has given up the third-most DraftKings points per game to opposing centers since acquiring Nikola Vucevic at the trade deadline. As a final bonus, Turner is playing at home where he has been far more productive, with 4.5 more DraftKings points per game over the last two seasons. All in all, at only $6,200 on both sites, Turner is extremely underpriced for life without Sabonis.

Projected NBA DFS ownership projection: DraftKings 9.8%, FanDuel 14.0%


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