NBA DFS Picks Based Off of Optimal Lineup Percentage and Ownership Projections for DraftKings + FanDuel

In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.

*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.

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DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | Jan. 15

NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates 

Cedi Osman vs. Knicks: $6,200/$5,100

22.3% DraftKings Boom/47% FanDuel Boom

The Cavaliers traded for Taurean Prince and Jarrett Allen as part of the James Harden trade, but it’s unknown if they will play tonight. What we do know is that Collin Sexton and Darius Garland are out. Without the two of them, Cleveland has run a lot of it’s offense through Osman. Now in the starting lineup, Osman is playing 34.6 minutes per game in starts. When Sexton and Garland are off the court this season, Cedi averages 4.99 assists per 36 minutes with a 24.8% usage rate.

Nikola Vucevic vs. Celtics: $9,400/$9,000

27.2% DraftKings Boom/31.3% FanDuel Boom

It looks like the Celtics could get players back from health and safety protocols, but they are still missing Jayson Tatum and Robert Williams. In addition, a handful of players are listed as questionable. This could mean that Vucevic doesn’t face all that difficult of a matchup. He is also looking at increased usage due to the Magic’s current injury situation. Markelle Fultz is out for the season with a torn ACL, and Evan Fournier remains out with a back injury. When Fultz and Fournier are off the court, Vucevic has a 31.8% usage rate and scores 55.29 DraftKings point per 36 minutes.


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Damyean Dotson vs. Knicks: $5,200/$5,000

25.6% DraftKings Boom/37.7% FanDuel Boom

Like Osman, Dotson is benefitting from the absence of Garland and Sexton. While Cleveland has added some depth to its roster, all this added depth comes in the frontcourt. The Cavaliers are already loaded with big me,n so playing time is up in the air in the backcourt. In the last few game, this playing is going mostly towards Dotson. In the last four games, he is averaging 37 minutes. Dotson is not the best per-minute fantasy producer in the world, but it doesn’t matter when he’s relatively cheap and playing close to 40 minutes. He is averaging 27.7 DraftKings points as a starter.

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NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates

Lauri Markkanen vs. Thunder: $6,400/$5,900

49.4% DraftKings Bust/53% FanDuel Bust

After missing seven games because of COIVD, Markkanen is returning to action tonight. After time off, the risk here is obvious. Markkanen could play reduced minutes, and rust could play a factor. There is no way to know how Markkanen will look on the court which adds variance to this situation. We also have to consider that Markkanen was disappointing last season, and the Bulls’ starting lineup already features high-usage players in Zach LaVine and Coby White.


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Looking for more NBA daily fantasy and NBA DFS projections and picks content? We have loads of NBA daily fantasy articles, data, DraftKings and FanDuel cheat sheets based on NBA DFS projections and more on the Awesemo NBA home page. Just click HERE.

Greg is a former stand up comedian who quit telling jokes to pursue a career in the world of DFS. He started playing fantasy sports in 6th grade when Greg and his friends would skip classes to meet in the bathroom for 20 team fantasy basketball drafts. Considering his current career path, it was the best education he could have asked for.

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