NBA DFS DraftKings Showdown Review | Lakers vs. Nuggets Game 4

Uhhuhbro deep dives into Game 4 between the Lakers and Nuggets for your NBA DFS DraftKings showdown lineups.

Welcome back to another slate review. Over the last 35 slates, the biggest first-place split we had seen was 98, followed by 62, 52 and 40. Two-thirds of those GPPs were split less than 10 ways. We had an interesting one last night with Dwight Howard getting the start over JaVale McGee.


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NBA DFS DraftKings Showdown Review | Lakers vs. Nuggets Game 4

Last night in the DraftKings NBA Showdown $500,000 Thursday Shootaround ($100,000 to first, $20 to enter), 335 players split first place for an $812 payout each. The winning lineup scored a 237.88 and won by two points:

Uhhuhbro studies Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals between the Lakers and Nuggets for your DraftKings NBA DFS showdown lineups.

Second-place finishers received $72.09 on their $20 entry fee for having the second-best lineup possible out of 29,411 entries. The winning lineup used a salary of $49,500 and had a team ownership percentage (TO%) of 221.4% with Jamal Murray at Captain:

Uhhuhbro studies Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals between the Lakers and Nuggets for your DraftKings NBA DFS showdown lineups.

Since I have been tracking these slates, this is the third-highest TO% we have seen take down a GPP while team salary was in the mid-low range at $49,500. What an interesting difference in NBA Showdown slates we are seeing right now with the chalky Lakers – Nuggets series and the much more open Showdown slates of the Celtics – Heat series.

Boom of the night goes to Dwight Howard, who put up 30.75 points (8.5x for $3,600 at 31%). Howard was owned 6.5% in the Captain spot, and for a while I thought you were going to need him, but Murray at Captain actually won the day. Bust goes to Nikola Jokic, who put up 35.25 points (2.9x for $12,000 at 46.7%. Jokic was owned 12.7% in the Captain spot. Shout out to Gary Harris, though, who scored eight points for 1.9x for $4,200 @23.4%.

P.J. Dozier once again provided zero fantasy points to the 8.1% that rostered him.

The GPP last night was 29,411 entries, 10,596 entrants, 2,570 (24.3%) of whom made money. This is a lot more profitable players than we usually see. Due to the chalkiness of the profitable lineups, no player made more than $1,900 in this GPP.

The 150-Maxers

We had 45 150-maxers, making up 21% of the field. Just like yesterday, only one made money, profiting $1,400 with two first-place finishes. Thirty of 45 150-maxers cashed fewer than 25 lineups, and 10-of-45 cashed 10 or fewer. The bottom three 150-maxers combined to cash eight lineups.

The most popular lineup was played 481 times, which is a lot lower than I was expecting. It also had a TO% higher than the winner, which is interesting. The most popular lineup was a two-vs-two away from the optimal and min-cashed with a 214.63:

Uhhuhbro studies Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals between the Lakers and Nuggets for your DraftKings NBA DFS showdown lineups.

Only 348 entries played had a higher TO% than the winner, which is remarkable. However, where the field stumbled is salary. Over 20,000 entries (70%) used a salary of $49,600 or higher, while the winning team salary was $49,500.

Tonight, we have the Celtics – Heat again, which makes for a more interesting Showdown slate in my book.


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