NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Projections & High-Upside Plays

In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.

*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.

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DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | Jan. 17

NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates

Ben Simmons vs. Thunder: $8,600/$8,300

23.8% DraftKings Boom/39.8% FanDuel Boom

Joel Embiid will miss his second straight game due to knee pain. This opening up a ton of value on the Sixers, and Simmons should be among the largest beneficiaries. He was one assist shy of a triple-double yesterday after scoring 11 points and grabbing 16 rebounds. While his shots did not go up yesterday, it’s tough to imagine Shake Milton will go 10-for-18 from the floor again, so Simmons should be asked to score a bit more in a good matchup today.

Dwight Howard vs. Thunder: $4,800/$4,400

51.3% DraftKings Boom/66.8% FanDuel Boom

For the second day in a row, Howard has the highest probability on the slate to boom. He started for Embiid yesterday, finishing with 8points, 18 rebounds, three assists and three blocks. All signs point to him dominating the paint again today. The Thunder do not have someone to control the paint this season, with Steven Adams gone. Al Horford will also be out for Oklahoma City, so Howard will likely be matched up with Isaiah Roby. He has two inches and 35 pounds over Roby.

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Isaiah Roby vs. 76ers: $4,200/$4,200

27.1% DraftKings Boom/33.2% FanDuel Boom

While Roby should be an easy matchup for Howard, the opposite can also be true. With Horford out, Roby enters the starting lineup as an unconventional five. He is undersized, but he is capable of knocking down 3’s. Dwight is not going to follow him out to the perimeter, so expect some open shots for him today. Roby will also rack up a few rebounds and assists, which is all that is really needed at his cheap price. If he adds any defensive stats, that’ll be the cherry on top. Roby has averaged about a fantasy point per minute over his past two games, and Awesemo has him projected for 25.5 minutes today.

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NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates

Aaron Holiday vs. Clippers: $4,200/$4,400

79.0% DraftKings Bust/73.4% FanDuel Bust

With Victor Oladipo gone and Caris LeVert yet to join the Pacers, one would think Holiday would benefit from this situation. While he had one good game, it has looked like an outlier. Holiday has a low usage rate, and this is only made worse when he joins the starting lineup. He should come off the bench today, but he’ll take single-digit shots, while not getting many rebounds or assists. It’s always an uphill battle for him to hit value.

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Author

Zach Brunner

Zach Brunner is the founder of FlurrySports and a featured sports betting and fantasy sports expert for numerous outlets. With an education in business, coaching and history education, he has taken a little bit from all of his experiences to give him a well-rounded, unique point of view in the sports industry. Follow him on Twitter @FantasyFlurry to keep up with other things he is doing.