The NBA may have stopped but that doesn’t mean we don’t have e-sports contests! FanDuel has kept it going with contests every night. Here are Sam Smith’s TOP NBA DFS Picks.
FanDuel NBA DFS Sim Sports Rules
- Players are randomly assigned stats from a game they played during the 2019-2020 season.
- Only players who have scored fantasy points in at least 15 games will be included in the pool.
- The opponent matchups in each slate are irrelevant for the simulations.
- Only games where players scored more than zero points will be available to be assigned stats, No DNPs or Late Scratches.
- Scoring Example: LeBron James draws a 23 – he will get assigned the stats and Fantasy Points from the 23rd game he played this season: 65.4. Each player will be assigned a different random game.
- Again listed matchups do not matter.
NBA DFS Picks: Top Tier
James Harden
He slumped to close out the season, but Harden had a ridiculous start to 2019-20 when he was averaging close to 40 real-life points a game. He also had a number of games where Russell Westbrook sat out, and Harden consistently put up strong numbers in those games. As such, he has a 38.7 percent chance of eclipsing 60 fantasy points, making him one of the safest best for production on any slate, despite a high price of $11,200.
Anthony Davis
Davis averaged 52 fantasy points a game this season and hit 60 fantasy points in nearly a quarter of games. As such, despite 30 percent of his outputs going below 45 points, he has a very good chance to pay off. He is a better play than teammate LeBron James because James only hit 60 in 16.4 percent of games and is $100 more expensive than Davis.
Damian Lillard
Lillard is one of the few guys on this slate who can match Harden’s upside thanks to his run in late January when he was putting 40-, 50- and 60-point games. He is priced accordingly at $10,200, but with a 47-fantasy-point average and a huge ceiling, Lillard has a strong chance to pay off that tag.
Kawhi Leonard
This slate is loaded at the top, but Leonard has the fifth-highest fantasy point average on the slate at 47.6 with a much lower salary than those above him and a slightly smaller sample size at 52 games. Plus, he scored at least 57 fantasy points in nearly 20 percent of games, so he has a strong chance of paying off his $9,600 tag, and then some.
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NBA DFS Picks: Mid Tier
Devonte’ Graham
Graham’s hot start to the season gives him a decent sample of games where he produced like a top-tier play. However, he crashed to earth later in the season, so his pricing is comfortably mid-tier at $6,700. He scored at least 40 fantasy points in 28.1 percent of games this season, giving him a great chance to hit his value. That said, with so many games of sub-par scoring, he could be a damper on lineups. Graham is a substantial boom/bust play for a mid-tier price.
Will Barton
Small forward has a few more options today than these sim contests usually provide, but Barton still stands out as good value. He is only $6,100 and and averaged a solid 31.24 fantasy points this year, but he also exceeded 35 points in 41.3 percent of games, giving him a strong chance to pay off his middling price tag.
Jonathan Isaac
Isaac’s fantasy value is largely tied to the weight of blocks and steals on FanDuel. Isaac averaged 32.9 fantasy points a game this year despite only being a 12-point scorer thanks to four combined steals/blocks. As a result, he hit 40 fantasy points in nearly a third of games this year, good value for $6,400.
LaMarcus Aldridge
Aldridge had one of his better fantasy outputs this year, even if the numbers do not look it on paper. He was over 40 fantasy points consistently, getting to 44 over 30 percent of the time and averaging 37 a game. He is liable to bust with fewer than 25 points in 10 games, but at upper-mid-range pricing, he has a better chance of paying off.
NBA DFS Picks: Value Tier
Eric Gordon
Gordon is a swing for the fences at $4,000. He was almost exclusively bad value this year, but he had a whopping one game where he recorded 68.7 fantasy points. His overall average of 21 a game is not awful, so he has potential slate-breaking upside if that one game hits and his average is good enough to justify the low-priced swing.
Reggie Jackson
Jackson was not a productive fantasy player with the Clippers, but we have his Pistons run in this pool even though he is listed as a Clipper. In only 23 games, Jackson exceeded 30 fantasy points about a third of the time, so he has a decent chance of crushing value at $4,500.
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