NBA DFS Picks: FanDuel Simulation Games 4/14/20

The NBA may have stopped but that doesn’t mean we don’t have e-sports contests! FanDuel has kept it going with contests every night. Here are Sam Smith’s TOP NBA DFS Picks.

FanDuel NBA DFS Sim Sports Rules

  • Players are randomly assigned stats from a game they played during the 2019-2020 season.
  • Only players who have scored fantasy points in at least 15 games will be included in the pool.
  • The opponent matchups in each slate are irrelevant for the simulations.
  • Only games where players scored more than zero points will be available to be assigned stats, No DNPs or Late Scratches.
  • Scoring Example: LeBron James draws a 23 – he will get assigned the stats and Fantasy Points from the 23rd game he played this season: 65.4. Each player will be assigned a different random game.
  • Again listed matchups do not matter.

NBA DFS Picks: Top Tier

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Despite his enormous price tag of $11,600, Giannis is as safe a fantasy producer as there is in the league. He hit 60 fantasy points in 34.4 percent of games this season, and the small forward pool for today’s slate is good for once, but not great. There are other stud values on this slate so you don’t necessarily have to pay up for him, but there is a massive gap in production between Giannis and the next best small forward.

Luka Doncic

Doncic is a $700 discount to Giannis and is one of the very few players who is in the same realm of fantasy production. He has a 30.3 percent chance of hitting 60 fantasy points today compared to Giannis’ 34.4 percent, so you cannot go wrong playing either.

Kawhi Leonard

Leonard averaged 47.6 fantasy points a game this year and he has a slightly smaller sample size at 52 games. Plus, he scored at least 57 fantasy points in nearly 20 percent of games, so he has a strong chance of paying off his $9,600 tag, and then some.

Andre Drummond

There are ton of high-priced players on this slate and several of them are centers. Between Drummond, Nikola Jokic and Deandre Ayton, Drummond has the best chance of hitting his price value despite being  more expensive than both. With double-doubles in 82.5 percent of games and a ceiling of 81.6 fantasy points, Drummond presents the best floor and most upside of the trio.


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NBA DFS Picks: Mid Tier

Kristaps Porzingis

It is always prudent in this style of contest to target productive players who missed substantial time during the season as it lessens their sample size. Porzingis played in 51 games this year, a handful without Doncic, and he has a 29.4 percent chance of exceeding 50 fantasy points with a ceiling of 75.6.

Ricky Rubio

Rubio has a fairly high ceiling for a player in the middle price range with a high of 68.1 fantasy points, the same as teammate Devin Booker. Rubio got to 50 FanDuel points in 10.5 percent of games with an average of 34.4 points, making him solid value at $6,900.

Zion Williamson

Williamson has upper-middle-tier upside with firm mid-tier pricing. He hit at least 30 fantasy points in the overwhelming majority of games this season with a few ceiling games of 50-plus sprinkled in. With such a small sample size on his season, there is a stronger chance of hitting one of those ceiling games with him, and he is priced reasonably at $6,800.

NBA DFS Picks: Value Tier

Coby White

White made a great run to end the season, giving him a super-high ceiling at just $4,200. He had plenty of duds since he ran as third point guard much of the season, but when White got minutes, he produced. He has a 29.2 percent chance of recording at least 30 fantasy points.

Donte DiVincenzo

Like most in this pricing tier, DiVincenzo is fully boom/bust with plenty of sub-20-point efforts. However, he also had a few long stretches where either Eric Bledsoe or Khris Middleton missed and he got the start. DiVincenzo also has a surprisingly high number of games with strong peripherals even when he did not score, so there is decent chance of him exceeding his 22.5-point average and he is only $4,300.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

For once, small forward has some decent value, but Hardaway still stands out as a low-priced option. He topped 30 fantasy points in nearly a third of games this season and he is only $4,500.


Looking for more NBA DFS picks content? We’ve got loads of articles, data, cheatsheets and more on the Awesemo NBA home page, just click HERE

Author
Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.

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