Wednesday, Dec. 4 presents an interesting 10-game main slate for all the big daily fantasy sites. Before you lock in your NBA DFS lineups and NBA DFS picks on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo and FantasyDraft, make sure to check out check out Awesemo’s NBA DFS rankings and projections. Let’s dig into some NBA DFS Picks, including Donovan Mitchell, LeBron James and more.
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Don’t forget to check out the NBA DFS Strategy Show featuring Josh Engleman and Sal Vetri as they break down the NBA DFS slate and give out their thoughts on Luka Doncic, teams on back-to-backs, injury news and analysis.
Also, check out Chris Spags’ Switch and Hedge for more NBA DFS picks.
NBA DFS Picks: Prime Time Players
Donovan Mitchell: Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Lakers
DraftKings $7,100, FanDuel $8,000, Yahoo $30 Ownership Rating (preliminary run): DraftKings 33.9%, FanDuel 34.9% Yahoo Fantasy 39.6%
Mike Conley is out tonight with a sore hamstring, so that should put the ball in Mitchell’s hands more often than it already has been this season.
My guess is that the secondary facilitation duties will be shared by Emmanuel Mudiay and Joe Ingles. The main question will be who draws the start between the two. The three ball handlers will need to be staggered and I would expect Ingles to get the nod over Mudiay if the game is close down the stretch, regardless of which player starts.
Mitchell is in the midst of another solid season and he has not been impacted by the Ricky Rubio/Mike Conley switch. In an interesting twist, Mitchell’s 13 minutes per game without Conley actually see him with a neutral 30.1 to 30.2 usage change, an uptick in rebounding but a decrease in offensive efficiency from 112.6 to 95.8. This is just a 21-game sample size and will not be influencing me.
There is a chance we see Anthony Davis get a break on this back-t0-back as he has been playing through a sore shoulder and the Lakers next play on Friday, Sunday and Wednesday. Davis has missed only one game this season which was a beat down of Golden State on a back-to-back Nov. 13.
Utah and Los Angeles are both playing at the 16th-highest pace with 102.9 possessions per 48 minutes. They are also the eighth and best defensive teams, respectively. The ball should be in the hands of the key players, so I am not worried about this tonight.
Not to bury the lead, Ingles and Mudiay are in play as secondary value options with their increased role.
NBA DFS Picks: Good Value
Tomas Satoransky: Chicago Bulls vs. Memphis Grizzlies
DraftKings $5,200, FanDuel $5,800, Yahoo $13 Ownership Rating (preliminary run): DraftKings 15.9%, FanDuel 5.9% Yahoo Fantasy 24.5%
This is more of a DraftKings and Yahoo play. The Bulls have a nice matchup tonight against a depleted Memphis squad. Coach Jim Boylen is very much on the hot seat and has lost the locker room. Over the last three games, Satoransky has averaged 33-ish minutes.
We know that it is all about the shot volume for his success. On the season, Memphis is playing at the sixth-fastest pace and is a bottom-10 team defensively. Tonight should see ample assist and scoring opportunities for the former Wizard.
Over on FanDuel, Kris Dunn is the alternative to Satoranksy for the $1,300 savings.
NBA DFS Picks: Risky Value
D’Anthony Melton: Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls
DraftKings $4,600, FanDuel $4,400, Yahoo $12 Ownership Rating (preliminary run): DraftKings 1.0%, FanDuel 1.0% Yahoo Fantasy 1.0%
It is my belief that D’Anthony Melton will gain traction as a value play throughout the day. He has back-to-back 30-plus-fantasy-point games and we know that Ja Morant and Brandon Clarke will be on the shelf for a while. It will be Tyus Jones likely drawing the start again with Melton serving as his direct backup. This duo has a decent chance of sharing the court in the fourth quarter.
Melton was a second-round draft pick by the Rockets in 2018, but he was traded to the Suns as part of the Ryan Anderson for Marquese Chriss and Brandon Knight deal. He was moved this off season to Memphis as part of a cap-clearing effort. While he is more known for his defense, if Tyus Jones continues his lackluster play, Melton is next in line.
FantasyCruncher Tip of the Day
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With the incredibly user-friendly and flexible rules creation feature on FantasyCruncher, we can take our lineup construction to the next level.
Today’s highlighted feature is the ability to import data in our own customizable fields.
These new data elements can then be utilized with rules for our NBA DFS Crunches.
By using the “Add/Remove” Column feature, we can bring in different data elements to help inform our Crunches with just a little pre-planning in Excel or Google Sheets.
In the example below, Awesemo Points and Value Grades have been added as new columns in the upload template along with the Boom/Bust% outcomes.
Keep an eye on the teams wrapping up back-to-back games. We could see Kristaps Porzingis, Blake Griffin or Anthony Davis get a night off.
As always, you can reach out to me in Awesemo.com Premium Slack or on Twitter @EMacDFS if you have any NBA DFS questions about DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo or FantasyDraft.
Good Luck NBA DFS Gamers! ~ EMac
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