NBA DFS First Look & Optimal Lineup Picks Today

The Slate Starter is a daily first look at to get your daily fantasy basketball lineup-building process started before lock tonight. Each day, we will go through some of the best NBA DFS picks, top stacks and optimal lineup construction for DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to check Awesemo’s NBA Starting Lineups page, as it will be updated throughout the day as the NBA injury reports are released and breaking news surfaces. Let’s dive into a few potential sources of value on Tuesday’s small three-game slate.

NBA DFS Picks & Optimal Lineup Construction | Nov. 9

Andre Drummond, C, Philadelphia 76ers

Drummond was relatively easy to lock into your lineups on Monday, but he’s significantly more expensive on the second leg of a back-to-back. He’s been priced up to $7,200 on FanDuel, and he’s all the way up to $7,700 on DraftKings.

Some might balk at the price tag, but I remain undeterred. Drummond has averaged 1.31 DraftKings points per minute heading into Monday’s slate, and he racked up 56.75 DraftKings points in his first start of the year.

He’s also in a solid spot Tuesday vs. the Bucks. They’ve played at the ninth-fastest pace this season, and they rank 22nd in team rebound rate.

The 76ers could have some other potential sources of value, but that is more dependent on the injury report. If Tobias Harris returns to the lineup, he’s going to command a significant usage rate offensively. If Harris misses another contest, guys like Seth Curry, Shake Milton, and Furkan Korkmaz would all be on the radar.

Bobby Portis, PF/C, Milwaukee Bucks

On the other side of that matchup, Portis has plenty of appeal for the Bucks. He moved into the starting lineup in the Bucks’ last game, and he ultimately played 30.7 minutes. Portis has historically been an elite producer on a per-minute basis, and he responded with 45.25 DraftKings points vs. the Wizards. Overall, Portis has seen at least 26 minutes in 11 games as a member of the Bucks, and he’s averaged 36.34 DraftKings points in those contests.

The projections are going to be critical here. If Portis remains in the starting lineup and we can comfortably project him for a similar workload, he stands out as an elite value option.

Portis would also become an appealing target in the prop market in that situation. Make sure to utilize the Awesemo Player Prop tool to take advantage of the most exploitable props each day.

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Joe Ingles, SG/SF, Utah Jazz

Ingles started the Jazz’s last game with Mike Conley out of the lineup, but Conley is expected back on Tuesday’s slate. Still, Ingles seems underpriced at just $4,400 on FanDuel. He hasn’t been providing a ton of value at that price tag recently – he’s scored 18.6 FanDuel points or less in five of his past six games – but history suggests he can pay off this salary. Ingles has averaged 23.27 FanDuel points with a comparable price tag since the start of the 2017 season.

Ingles simply just hasn’t shot the ball well. He was 2-for-9 from the field in his last game, including 1-for-7 from 3-point range. Ingles is typically lethal from 3-point range, so he’s a major regression candidate moving forward. The last time he shot better than 25% from downtown, he finished with 27.3 FanDuel points. He’s someone who could be a bit overlooked on Tuesday, and if that’s the case, expect him to have a strong leverage rating in the Boom/Bust Probability tool.

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