NBA DFS Picks – Strategy Syllabus for Thursday, November 14

The NBA DFS Expert Survey

Favorite Player for Cash Games?

• Adam: Cam Reddish
• Loughy: Giannis Antetokounmpo
• Emac: Spencer Dinwiddie
• Dan: Luka Doncic
• Alex: Giannis Antetokounmpo

Favorite Player for GPPs?

• Adam: Eric Bledsoe
• Loughy: Lou Williams
• Emac: Trae Young
• Dan: Dennis Smith Jr
• Alex: DeAndre Bembry

Biggest Bust?

• Adam: Devin Booker
• Loughy: Cam Reddish
• Emac: Kelly Oubre, Jr.
• Dan: Julius Randle
• Alex: Paul George

Best Position to Pay Up For?

• Adam: PG
• Loughy: PG/SF
• Emac: PG/SG
• Dan: PG
• Alex: SF

Best Position to Pay Down For?

• Adam: SG
• Loughy: SF/PF
• Emac: SF
• Dan: SF
• Alex: SG

Best Team to Target?

• Adam: Clippers
• Loughy: Clippers
• Emac: Hawks
• Dan: Clippers
• Alex: Clippers

Worst Team to Target?

• Adam: Knicks
• Loughy: Knicks
• Emac: Knicks
• Dan: Knicks
• Alex: Bulls

Top Contrarian Play?

• • Adam: Eric Bledsoe: Bledsoe has averaged 1.23 DraftKings points per minute this season and there is room for him to take a step forward tonight with Khris Middleton out. Bledsoe played 503 minutes alongside Middleton and Giannis without Brogdon on the floor last season and averaged 0.98 points per minute with a 22.1 percent usage percentage. In 255 minutes with Middleton also on the sideline, Bledsoe averaged 1.22 points per minute with a 26.6 percent usage percentage. His usage percentage this season is already north of 24 percent and we could see it even higher tonight. He also has an easier path to minutes as I think it is likely that George Hill plays several minutes alongside Bledsoe instead of stealing minutes from him.
  • Loughy: Lou Willliams, again, makes for a stellar tournament option. He played 41 minutes (forty one!) in regulation last night but couldn’t find his shot, as the entire Clippers team struggled in a road loss to the Rockets. Paul George will make his debut on Thursday, but Kawhi Leonard has already been ruled out along with Patrick Beverley. Williams will likely see his minutes curtailed a bit on the second of a back-to-back, but should still see 35 minutes in a game where he dominates offensive possessions.
  • Emac: Ricky Rubio: there are some outstanding options at both guard positions tonight on the top end. When that is combined with the conditioning we have received to build Stars/Scrubs lineups over the first three weeks of the season, that leaves gamers overlooking the mid-tier. Ricky Rubio and Devin Booker have the same number of 40+ (4) and 50+ (1) fantasy games this season. Rubio is shooting a lot more this season than he did in his time with Utah and in this game that portends to be a little sloppy, he could be in line for a couple of steals. As long as he sees 15ish shot attempts he has an excellent chance of matching or topping Booker at about a third of the popularity.
  • Dan: Montrezl Harrell has played 30 plus minutes and four out of his last five games. The New Orleans Pelicans are a top three team in pace so far this year and rank 25th in Opp rebounding to start th season. While the return of Paul George could reduce Harrell’s shot and rebound opportunities, his ownership currently presents at sub five-percent. If he maintains double digit shot attempts, a high end double double seems in the offing.
  • Alex: Dennis Smith Jr. – The minutes are in question but he’s a much better player than Frank Ntilikina so I think there’s potential for him to start the 2nd half over Frank Ntilikina and play 25+ minutes. If he does, he’s a monster player for his near-min salary