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The SuperDraft Starting Five | August 19th

Eric Lindquist

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NBA DFS: Zach Brunner's FREE Boom or Bust Preview, with NBA DFS picks based on Awesemo's Premium tool | DraftKings + FanDuel 9/7/20.

The NBA playoffs are in full swing, and I’m here to give you my starting five on SuperDraft — two guards, two forwards, and a center — for Wednesday’s NBA DFS main slate.


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NBA DFS Picks: SuperDraft Starting Five

KEMBA WALKER (1.6X MULTIPLIER)

I will chase the monster Kemba game into the sun at this point. The most encouraging part of Game 1 has to be the 35 minutes, as opportunity has been his biggest question mark for me in the bubble. But now Gordon Hayward‘s usage is up for grabs, which I’m hoping funnels its way to Mr. Walker. If his assist rate can see a slight increase, and he can finally see some 3’s fall after another 0-for on Monday, there’s so much upside sitting at this multiplier today.

LOU WILLIAMS (1.65X MULTIPLIER)

Lou’s 31 minutes in Game 1 was by far his highest total in the bubble. We know he can fill it up at any second (especially against Trey Burke/Seth Curry defense), but the most encouraging sign for his upside is the return of pick-and-roll partner, Montrezl Harrell. The two are so interconnected on the second unit, and if Harrell gets more and more active in the offense after his layoff, a double-digit assist game isn’t too farfetched for Williams. Hoping that’s today.


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PASCAL SIAKAM (1.35X MULTIPLIER)

Monday was Fred VanVleet‘s turn, and now I’m hoping it’s Siakam’s. It’s not like he was a bust with his 18/11/1 line, but we’ve yet to see him eclipse the 40 SuperDraft point mark since the restart. I still think it’s only a matter of time: for the year, Pascal’s been a 1.16 FP/Min player on the year (0.98 FP/Min in Orlando) with a 27% usage rate (24% in Orlando). I think some positive-regression is in store here, and at a 1.35x multiplier, he’s someone I’ll have a lot of exposure to.

JAYSON TATUM (1.25X MULTIPLIER)

Similar to Walker, Tatum is going to see a bump in usage and production with Hayward off the floor. Which is hard to imagine considering his already-tasty 29% usage rate and 1.38 FP/min rates in the bubble. There’s no doubt who Brad Stevens wants to run the offense through, and while we don’t need another 57.75 fantasy point day for this play to smash, the ceiling is always there.

NIKOLA JOKIC (1.3X MULTIPLIER)

You’d assume that Jokic has the hardest match-up of any Denver starter going up against Rudy Gobert. But from what we’ve seen in their four previous outings this year, you’d be wrong, as he’s torched reigning DPOY to the tune of 62 SuperDraft points-per-game. Jamal Murray‘s return is sure to give his assist rate a knock, but with so few centers to choose from on a four-game slate (and a better multiplier than Joel Embiid), I’m happy to eat the chalk with Jokic and differentiate elsewhere.


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