Basketball returns for the 2021-22 season, which means the NBA DFS picks are coming at you in full force. The following FREE NBA DFS picks for DraftKings fantasy basketball are based directly on Awesemo’s industry-leading premium projections and lineup optimizer for NBA DFS tonight, Thursday, Nov. 4. Early on, the cheat sheet looks at some great options like Jimmy Butler, plus some excellent NBA DraftKings daily fantasy value plays tonight. Be sure to check out the NBA Starting Lineups page to see live updates on who is in and who is out, as well as a full NBA injury report.
***LeBron James has been RULED OUT tonight. He will not accrue fantasy points if rostered.***
DraftKings Cheat Sheet: NBA DFS Optimal Lineup Picks Tonight
Premium Tools NBA DFS Lineups Tonight
NBA Fantasy Point Projections (Premium)
Our NBA DFS fantasy point projections break down every element of a player’s projected performance and synthesize thousands of data points into one easy-to-use fantasy-point projection for each player that can be used as a reference for hand-building lineups or plugged into an optimizer to create hundreds of lineups within seconds. The player’s projections page also provides underlying data, including each player’s expected minutes played, usage rate, and breakdowns for each statistical scoring category (points, rebounds, assists, etc.).
NBA Ownership Projections (Premium)
As the competition becomes increasingly sophisticated, it’s important to know who the best plays are and who the best players are that no one else is talking about. Ownership projections provide you insight into where the “field” (other players) will land and how you can pivot away from over-owned and target under-owned players to give yourself the competitive advantage you need to take down large GPPs.
Awesemo’s NBA Rankings (Express/Premium)
The world’s best DFS player releases his letter-grade rankings for every fantasy-relevant player on the day’s slates. Perfect for hand-building lineups or comparing to your own projections to test for accuracy, these grades are also featured in our Lineup Builder.
Ownership Rankings (Express/Premium)
Awesemo’s Ownership Rankings let you know how popular a player is compared to the other players at their position by ranking all players by ownership projection.
Awesemo’s Big Board (Express/Premium)
Awesemo ranks all of the top plays on the slate from best to worst based on projection and salary. Perfect for someone to build a cash game lineup.
NBA Finals Lineup Builder (Express/Premium)
The Lineup Builder is the perfect tool for hand-building lineups. Equipped with Awesemo’s proprietary rankings and ownership projections, as well as Vegas implied totals, matchups, and lineup information, this tool aggregates all the information you need to build your best lineup onto a single page. Lineups you build on this page will receive both a GPA based on Awesemo’s rankings and a contrarian percentile ranking for evaluating whether your GPP lineups are too “chalky.”
Team Awesemo Survey (Express/Premium)
Want to know who our experts are playing in cash? Who do they think the biggest bust will be? Their top NBA DFS contrarian plays? We have you covered with our NEW Expert Survey, where the top players in DFS offer their top NBA DFS Picks on the slate and their favorite fades as well.
The NBA Boom Bust Tool (Premium)
In all DFS sports, comparing the strength of a player each day versus their popularity is key to success. In the NBA, correlations between players are less valuable, so each play’s strength can be considered individually. For each player, Awesemo calculates the standard deviation based on a variety of factors and uses that to calculate the ceiling (75th-percentile performance), the floor (25th-percentile performance), and the probability that they will bust (not meeting value) or boom (value plus 10 points). Combining these metrics, you will be able to gain an edge on everyone by identifying under-owned or over-owned players.
Slack Chat (Express/Premium)
Featuring all of our analysts and the world’s most passionate DFS community. Join us in our NBA Slack channel, where we’re talking strategy and plays (and sometimes sweating lineups) into the late hours of the night.
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Our daily fantasy basketball projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. Looking for more NBA DFS picks DraftKings and the top NBA DFS picks tonight? View our DraftKings NBA ownership, our Yahoo! ownership projections and our FanDuel NBA ownership. We also have Yahoo! ownership rankings, FanDuel NBA rankings and DraftKings ownership rankings for today's slate. Check out our daily fantasy sports rankings NBA for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own DFS NBA projections.
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