Josh Engleman is up early to walk you through The Process, going over the best NBA DFS Strategy and lineup creation for all the games. Watch as Josh breaks down the best daily fantasy basketball plays of the day and reveals his plan for Thursday, 12/30/21. Sponsored by PrizePicks.
Daily Fantasy Tools
Alex Baker manages our NBA DFS projections and updates them throughout the day as more information becomes available, up until the last game tips. Projections are an integral part of a winning process for NBA DFS. Using Awesemo’s projections provides you a system that’s proven to win money in tournaments over several seasons of action.
These NBA rankings for fantasy points and value are derived directly from my own fantasy NBA projections. Roster players with solid value rankings and spend most, if not all of your salary to build competitive lineups for your leagues.
In all DFS sports, comparing the strength of a player each day versus their popularity is key to success. In NBA, correlations between players are less valuable, so the strength of each play can be considered individually. For each player, I calculate the standard deviation based on a variety of factors. Then I use that to calculate the ceiling (75th-percentile performance), the floor (25th-percentile performance), and the probability that they will bust (not meeting value) or boom (value plus 10 points). Combining these metrics, you will gain an edge on everyone by identifying under-owned or over-owned players.
Initial ownership percentages are posted daily by 1:00 p.m. EST and are updated every two hours throughout the day, with a final update occurring 30 minutes before lock. Note that last-minute injury reports will impact not only the injured players’ or their replacements’ ownership but can also affect overall roster construction and, therefore, every other player on the slate.
Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Strategy | Dec. 30
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Check out our DFS basketball rankings for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own NBA projections DraftKings. We also have DraftKings NBA ownership rankings, FanDuel ownership rankings and Yahoo! NBA ownership rankings for today's slate. View our FanDuel ownership projections, our DraftKings ownership and our Yahoo! ownership projections. Looking for more NBA DFS tools and the best NBA DFS picks? Our DFS basketball projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.
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