On the calendar for Monday is a nine-game NBA slate. As always, be sure to be watching the Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page closely for updates on each team before making NBA picks today. Below are some NBA daily fantasy basketball picks that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.
Boom/Bust NBA Daily Fantasy Projections & Picks Today
Boom: Theo Maledon: $4,500 DraftKings/$4,900 FanDuel
61% DraftKings Boom/49% FanDuel Boom
With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) missing Saturday, Maledon got the spot start at point for the Thunder and delivered 32 DraftKings points in 32 minutes against the Nuggets. Including this effort, he has amassed 34 DraftKings points per game in the three games Gilgeous-Alexander has missed over the last week, with a team-high 29.2% usage rate in these games. Gilgeous-Alexander will remain sidelined tonight and Darius Bazley (doubtful, knee) is also expected to be unavailable, bringing the Thunder down to only nine healthy players. In this scenario, Maledon should continue to handle a huge usage rate and will likely see around 35 minutes of work. In addition to the hefty workload, Maledon gets an outstanding matchup against the Trail Blazers, who are also extremely shorthanded right now and rank dead last in defensive rating this month.
Despite their lengthy injury report, the Thunder present a solid implied team total of 111.75 points in this juicy spot. Plus, this game is expected to be a competitive affair, with Oklahoma City only favored by 1.5-points, which is the smallest spread of this nine-game slate. On both DraftKings and FanDuel, Maledon is criminally underpriced for his upside tonight and is a free square for this nine-game slate.
Boom: Payton Pritchard: $3,900 DraftKings/$4,400 FanDuel
69% DraftKings Boom/49% FanDuel Boom
Tonight the Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum (knee), Jaylen Brown (knee), Robert Williams (knee) and Al Horford (knee). Starter or not, Pritchard should take on a huge role with Boston down four starters, making him an extremely tough value to overlook. In the 157 minutes Pritchard has played with those four players off the court this season, his usage has jumped 7.9 percentage points to 26.2% and his assist rate has skyrocketed a whopping 24.3 percentage points to a team-best 47.1%. Thanks to the expanded role, Pritchard supplies 1.1 DraftKings in this situation. To put more gas on the fire, he has been an extremely efficient shooter as of late, knocking down 56.5% of his 3-pointers in his last 10 games.
Regardless of his subpar matchup against the Raptors, who rank 10th in defensive efficiency, Pritchard should destroy his low-price tags and is a core play this evening. In Awesemo’s NBA DFS Boom/Bust Tool, Pritchard boasts a top-three boom score on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Boom: Jonathan Kuminga: $4,400 DraftKings/$4,400 FanDuel
50% DraftKings Boom/48% FanDuel Boom
Kuminga is an elite value play tonight with the Warriors being understaffed. Given Monday is the second leg of a back-to-back set for Golden State, they will be resting Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and Otto Porter Jr., while Stephen Curry (foot) remains sidelined. In the six games these four players have missed collectively this season, Kuminga has generated 25.1 DraftKings points per game. Furthermore, in the 340 minutes he has played with those four players off the court, Kuminga’s usage has increased 2.1 percentage points to 25.7%, resulting in one DraftKings points per minute. Awesemo is projecting Kuminga for 31.6 minutes tonight and while his matchup with the Grizzlies, who rank fourth in defensive efficiency is less than ideal, Kuminga’s expected role out trumps any concerns about the defense he is facing.
Kuminga is averaging 30.3 DraftKings points per game for the 15 instances he has eclipsed 25 minutes this season and is rating as a top-five value on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel in Awesemo’s NBA daily fantasy projections.
Boom: Nikola Jokic: $12,200 DraftKings/$10,900 FanDuel
35% DraftKings Boom/48% FanDuel Boom
With so many great punt plays available tonight, paying up for Jokic is a no-brainer. The reigning MVP will be going against a Hornets’ defense that ranks 24th in efficiency. Additionally, Charlotte ranks fourth in pace, second in most rebounds allowed and they are playing their second game in two days. Last night, Andre Drummond showed how vulnerable this Hornets’ defense can be to opposing centers, posting a huge double-double worth 53.3 DraftKings points.
In his first meeting of the season against this Charlotte squad in December, Jokic went off for 66 DraftKings points. Tonight, the Nuggets present the third-highest implied team total on the slate with 118.5 points and this game’s total is the third-largest on the board at 233.5 points. Jokic is averaging 64 DraftKings points per game for the last 10 times he has played behind an implied team total of at least 115 points and has the highest ceiling of any player competing tonight in Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool by nearly 10 points.
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We also have FanDuel ownership rankings, DraftKings NBA rankings and Yahoo! ownership rankings for today's slate. View our DraftKings ownership projections, our FanDuel ownership projections and our Yahoo! NBA ownership projections. Looking for more NBA DFS lineups and the top NBA DFS picks for today? Our NBA DFS projections today are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. Check out our NBA fantasy rankings today for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own NBA DFS projections tonight.
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