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High-Upside NBA Daily Fantasy Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups Tonight | 3/7/22




LeBron James was absolutely loving the bad blood between Kevin Durant and Joel Embiid during the marquee matchup on Thursday night in Philly

Monday night presents an exciting eight-game NBA slate for DFS players to attack. Seven of these eight contests carry totals of at least 220 points, so fans can safely expect huge fantasy scores this evening. As always, be sure to watch the Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page closely for updates on each team before making NBA picks today. Below are some NBA daily fantasy basketball picks that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo’s Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.

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Boom/Bust NBA Daily Fantasy Projections & Picks Today

Boom: Jordan Poole: $5,300 DraftKings/$4,700 FanDuel

43% DraftKings Boom/49% FanDuel Boom

On both DraftKings and FanDuel, Poole is a must-have value play with the Warriors understaffed. With this being the first night of a back-to-back set for Golden State, they will be resting Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins. Additionally, Draymond Green (back) will remain sidelined. This will be the third time over the last two seasons Poole has been available without these four players and he was a stud on the first two occasions as the Warriors’ replacement starting point guard. First, he erupted for 55 DraftKings points last May against the Pelicans. Then, just last month, Poole went off for 51.5 DraftKings points against the Spurs. The guard received 33 minutes of work in both of these starts and in the 231 minutes Poole has played with those four starters off the floor this season, his usage has increased 7.1 percentage points to a team-high 31.6%. Plus, Poole’s assist rate has jumped 8.5 percentage points to 27.3%. With these massive upgrades, Poole contributes 1.2 DraftKings points per minute.

For tonight, the Warriors will be going against a Nuggets’ defense that ranks 12th in efficiency. However, Denver just played last night, and the contest went to overtime. They should be sluggish on the defensive end and this tilt’s total is set at a solid 220 points. Poole should have zero issues beating his current price points and while he is going to be very popular, the guard is too strong of a value to ignore. Poole is a perfect example of good chalk and is rated as a top-five option on the slate in terms of Boom score for both DraftKings and FanDuel in Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool.

Boom: Jonathan Kuminga: $4,500 DraftKings/$4,600 FanDuel

44% DraftKings Boom/49% FanDuel Boom

Kuminga is another elite value play to attack from the depleted Warriors. With Curry, Thompson, Wiggins and Green off the court, Kuminga’s usage rises 3.2 percentage points to a strong 26.8%. This rate ranks second only to Poole for this situation and translates into 1.1 DraftKings points per minute for Kuminga. Tonight marks the third time this season the rookie has played with those four starters inactive, and Kuminga was very efficient on the first two occasions, collecting 33 DraftKings points in 32 minutes per game.

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Awesemo is projecting him for 30 minutes of work tonight against the Nuggets, and in the 10 contests Kuminga has received a minimum of 25 minutes this season, he has supplied 27 DraftKings points per game. In Awesemo’s projections, Kuminga is rating as a top-10 value on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Boom: LeBron James: $11,600 DraftKings/$10,200 FanDuel

36% DraftKings Boom/54% FanDuel Boom

James is coming off an incredible performance, scoring 77.5 DraftKings points against the Warriors and their league-best defense on Saturday. The Lakers upset Golden State in this tilt, snapping a four-game losing streak, and will look to keep the momentum going tonight against the Spurs. Anthony Davis (foot) will miss his sixth in a row and in the 25 starts James has made without the big man this season, he has generated 58.2 DraftKings points per game. Thanks to increases to all of his rates, James scores 1.54 DraftKings points per minute with Davis off the floor this season and this matchup with the Spurs is the best environment on the slate.

Given both of these clubs rank in the top five in pace this season, this contest’s total is the highest on the board at 236 points. Furthermore, the Spurs are only favored by 2.5 points and the Lakers boast the seventh-largest implied team total of the night with 116.75 points. When Los Angeles has carried an implied team total of at least 115 points this season, James has responded with 58.5 DraftKings points per game, in a sample size of 13 contests. Lastly, in his lone meeting of the season against the Spurs back in December, James recorded 61.8 DraftKings points. In Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool, no player competing tonight has a higher ceiling than James.

Boom: Dejounte Murray: $11,100 DraftKings/$9,900 FanDuel

30% DraftKings Boom/48% FanDuel Boom

With so many great punt plays at your disposal tonight, rostering Murray and James together is an easy task and a sharp move. In three meetings against the Lakers this season, Murray is averaging 59 DraftKings points per game, including two triple-doubles. Plus, in the 12 Spurs’ contests that have carried a total of at least 230 points this season, Murray has been incredible with 59 DraftKings points per game. Last, but not least, the guard should handle an even larger role than usual with San Antonio missing many key pieces.

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On top of Derrick White now being a member of the Celtics after being dealt last month at the deadline, the Spurs are expected to be without Devin Vassell and Lonnie Walker tonight, who are both listed as doubtful due to illnesses. In the 104 minutes Murray has played with these three players off the floor this season, his usage and assist rates have increased 7.8 and 5.5 percentage points, respectively, resulting in a tremendous 1.8 DraftKings points per minute. In Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool, Murray has a ceiling north of 60 fantasy points and owns a top-10 Boom score on the slate for both DraftKings and FanDuel.

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We also have FanDuel rankings, DraftKings ownership rankings and Yahoo! NBA ownership rankings for today's slate. Looking for more DFS NBA news and the top NBA DFS picks for today? Our NBA DFS projections tonight are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks. Check out our daily fantasy rankings NBA for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own NBA daily projections. View our Yahoo! ownership, our FanDuel NBA ownership and our DraftKings NBA ownership.

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