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NBA Fantasy: Boom Bust Tool Projections for DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups Today | 10/25/21




Monday night presents a full nine-game slate. With so many clubs in action, NBA fantasy lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel will be flush with high-level talent and value plays. The Awesemo NBA Starting Lineups page will give you breaking news when starters are announced as well as a full injury report on players who might be missing in action. Below are some NBA daily fantasy options that stand out for tonight’s slate using Awesemo Boom/Bust Tool and NBA DFS projections.

NBA Fantasy Projections & Optimal Lineup Picks Tonight

Boom: James Harden: $9,500 DraftKings/$10,000 FanDuel | 40.4% DraftKings Boom/25.9% FanDuel Boom

This is a great time to buy low on Harden, particularly on DraftKings, where he only costs $9,500. After shooting 46% from the field last season, Harden has posted a 38% field goal percentage this year. With Kyrie Irving (personal) still away from the team, Harden’s usage has remained outstanding at 30.5%. He is due for some positive regression, and tonight is a perfect spot for Harden to get back on track. Hosting the Wizards, the Nets have the highest implied team total on the slate (118.25 points), and this game’s total is the third highest of the night (229.5). The Wizards rank seventh in pace, and since the start of the last season Harden has averaged 59.1 DraftKings points per game in totals of at least 225 points. Harden is the best value on DraftKings among players priced above $8,000 tonight, and Harden also boasts a top three Boom rating on the slate, per Awesemo’s Boom Bust Tool.

Boom: Nickeil Alexander-Walker: $6,700 DraftKings/$6,100 FanDuel | 23.6% DraftKings Boom/30% FanDuel Boom

Alexander-Walker is vastly underpriced on both sites for his current role with the Pelicans. With Zion Williamson (foot) on the shelf, Alexander-Walker ranks second on the Pelicans in both usage (24.5%) and minutes per game (33.6). Alexander-Walker averages 32.8 DraftKings points per game in the 13 games he has played without Williamson since the start of last season. Tonight he will be going against a Minnesota team that ranks fifth in pace. This matchup’s total is the fourth largest on the slate (226.5), and this game is expected to stay competitive throughout, with Minnesota only favored by 5.5 points. Alexander-Walker should have no issues out-producing his modest price tags in this strong environment, and he is currently slated for single-digit ownership on DraftKings.

Boom: Franz Wagner: $4,400 DraftKings/$4,100 FanDuel | 39.1% DraftKings Boom/46.9% FanDuel Boom

As the Magic’s starting small forward, Wagner has seen an immense opportunity. For Orlando’s first three games of the season, they have been blown out twice and then beat the Knicks by six points yesterday. Regardless of if the game has been close or not, Wagner has logged at least 32 minutes in each of these three games, resulting in 24.4 DraftKings points per game. He leads the Magic in playing time, and Awesemo projects him forecasted for 34 minutes tonight against the Heat. This matchup is not ideal, with Miami ranking second in defensive efficiency, but Wagner is too cheap for his expected volume. He averages 0.71 DraftKings points per minute and is the strongest point-per-dollar value on the board on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

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Bust: D’Angelo Russell: $7,300 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel | 47.8% DraftKings Bust/55.6% FanDuel Bust

Russell is a tough sell at his current price points. This past Saturday he faced the same Pelicans defense he will meet tonight and put up a dud, finishing with only 14.75 DraftKings points. Russell has now logged less than 30 minutes in each of the Timberwolves’ first two games, is shooting a poor 36% from the field and is averaging five turnovers a night. At a slightly higher cost, Anthony Edwards is a much better way to attack the Timberwolves and their 116-point implied team total. Edwards has over seven more minutes a game than Russell this season and has provided at least 40 DraftKings points in eight of his last 10 starts.

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Looking for more NBA DFS advice FanDuel and the top NBA DFS picks tonight? View our Yahoo! NBA ownership, our FanDuel NBA ownership projections and our DraftKings ownership. Check out our NBA fantasy rankings today for fantasy points and values that are derived directly from Alex Baker's own NBA DFS projections DraftKings. We also have Yahoo! ownership rankings, DraftKings ownership rankings and FanDuel NBA rankings for today's slate. Our most accurate NBA DFS projections are updated regularly, including whenever any relevant news breaks.
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