NBA Picks: Prop Report presented by No House Advantage

Welcome to the Prop Report presented by No House Advantage! For those new to the site, NHA is a fantasy sports app that offers prop-based contests across multiple sports. Simply pick your five favorite player props for a given slate, rank them five (most confident) through one (least confident) and receive those points for each prop that hits. The best part? Instead of facing a house advantage on props like you would with a sportsbook, No House Advantage has purely peer-to-peer contests with big cash prizes. Sign up here or download the app from the App Store to get started. I’m going to give you the three NBA picks I have my eye on for you to utilize in your three-, four- and five-point confidence slots on Wednesday’s two-game NBA slate.

Pascal Siakam — OVER 7.5 rebounds

My picks went from a couple 3-0 days last week to 0-3 the past two days, so I’m about as consistent as the Raptors at this point. Good thing we’re starting off with a Raptor player prop. Siakam has been the bane of my existence in the bubble, checking all the boxes except the box score. I will go down with the ship on this prop tonight as long as Serge Ibaka is out (which I expect), as Nick Nurse has shown a propensity to go small for long stretches of time with Siakam at the five. That leaves ample time and opportunity for him to rack up rebounds at both ends of the floor. Barring foul trouble or injury, and Siakam should be on the floor for 40-plus minutes in Game 6, even if this game blows out. Let’s take the plunge one last time for old time’s sake and see if Siakam can come through for us.

Nikola Jokic — OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made

I don’t know what it is about this prop, but whenever I fire it, it hits. I suppose you probably want better analysis than that, so here it goes: The Nuggets are starting a lot of their half-court possessions with Jokic at the top of the key, forcing Ivica Zubac to step out on the perimeter to guard him. Seeing as Zubac is not the most fleet of foot and was torched in Game 3, I could see the Clippers sagging off Jokic more as opposed to letting him create opportunities for himself and others in the post. That should leave Jokic with some wide-open 3-point opportunities, and as he’s displayed by averaging 6.1 3-point attempts per game in these playoffs, he’s more than happy to take those shots. Couple that with the 47.5% average he has on those attempts, and the fact that he’s hit the over on this prop in six of the past seven games, fire this up again.

Micheal Porter Jr. — UNDER 12.5 Points

There’s no way around it: Porter is a freak. Defensive efficiencies aside, the 22-year-old seems to have the entire package. That talent was on full display in Game 3, and now I expect people to be super gung-ho in both DFS and the props market. Not so fast for me, as Paul Millsap and Jerami Grant still exist and provide more stability on the defensive end, which seems to be the priority for the Nuggets. And as well as Porter played on Monday night, he still only saw 24 minutes of run in a close game. I project him for right around 20 tonight, so unless he gets hot early, he could go back to single-digit scoring in Game 4. He’s only outproduced 12.5 points twice in his past eight games, so here’s to making that nine after tonight.

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Author

Eric Lindquist

Eric Lindquist hails from Sioux Falls, South Dakota (yes, that’s the one with Mount Rushmore). A steady diet of three SportsCenters a day at an early age led to his obsession with sports, one that 30 years later is paying dividends for him as a successful DFS player and sports bettor. Despite over half a million dollars in net career earnings, he’s most passionate about helping others achieve their financial goals, an energy you can witness on the daily in his current role as a host and analyst at Stokastic. He’s a former Division I golfer at Iowa State, wishes he was a former Minnesota sports fan, and is a proud father to a 100-pound Bernese Mountain dog named Duke that wishes he could just eat people food instead of the crap he and his wife feed him on the daily.