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I’m going to give you the three props I’ve got my eye on for you to utilize in your three-, four- and five-point confidence slots on today’s two-game NBA slate.
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Pascal Siakam — OVER 20.5 Points
Nothing broke Siakam’s way in Game 1, from foul trouble to inefficient shooting to a Boston blowout. All three created issues for Siakam’s scoring output in Game 1, but Game 2 should be a completely different story. He’s such a mismatch for the Celtics’ frontcourt that they had 6-foot-3 Marcus Smart do the dirty work covering him, and if that happens again today, expect the Raptors to go to Siakam early-and-often for easy buckets in the post. This is a four- or five-point level of confidence play for me today.
Nikola Jokic — OVER 1.5 3-Pointers Made
Mike Malone has let Jokic wander around the 3-point line in the series in an attempt to neutralize Rudy Gobert, and it’s working. Not only is it opening up lanes for cutters and unabated drives to the hoop, but it’s left wide open shots for Jokic at the top of the key. Jokic has gone over this prop already in five of the six games this series, with two games of double-digit 3-point attempts. If he gets anywhere close to that volume, this prop feels like a lock, especially considering the Jazz would prefer Jokic shooting from the outside to red-hot Jamal Murray. This is another four- or five-point play for me.
Rudy Gobert — UNDER 13.5 Rebounds
In the six previous games of this series, Gobert has gotten to 14 rebounds once. Part of that is due to the shooting efficiency by both teams in the series, hence fewer rebounds. But the real reason I like this prop is the same reason I’m on the Jokic prop: Gobert is being forced to guard Jokic at the 3-point line at the defensive end. If you’re not under the basket, you’re far less likely to spike a rebounding upside, and a majority of a center’s rebounds come on that end of the floor. This is a solid three to four level of confidence prop to finish out your lineups.
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