PlayLine NBA Picks, Friday 11/2

Awesemo.com Presents: $1,000,000 Perfect Line Bonus + $7,500GTD – Honeypot

Players: Kawhi Leonard, Kevin Durant & Stephen Curry

Stats: Points, rebound & assists


When you sign up for PlayLine, please support Awesemo.com by using the promo code “Awesemo” and the following link: playline.com/r/Awesemo. You’ll receive a $5 bonus when you sign up and an additional $20 bonus with your first deposit. The more people we refer, the more free sponsored PlayLine content we’ll be able to offer. Please see the PlayLine website for the terms and conditions regarding their bonus.

Today, we’ll be projecting the expected points, rebounds and assists for three players, Kawhi Leonard, Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry, in the “Awesemo.com Presents: $1,000,000 Perfect Line Bonus + $7,500GTD –  Honeypot ($2,500 to 1st!)“ PlayLine contest.

Your PlayLine predictions are scored according to the chart below. It’s really simple. The closer your PlayLine is to the athlete’s actual performance, the more points you get. The more points you get, the better your chances of winning!

You will receive PlayLine points each time the featured athlete registers a stat that you predicted will occur. Once the athlete’s actual stat total in a particular category goes over your prediction, you will no longer receive additional per stat PlayLine points.


Kawhi Leonard

PTS 27.3 | REB 7.8 | AST: 3.2

Leonard and the Toronto Raptors have stormed out of the gate this season, coming into tonight with a 7-1 record and sitting second in the Eastern Conference. Their lone loss came against the Milwaukee Bucks earlier this week, so they’ll be motivated to right the ship against a Phoenix Suns squad that has lost six straight.

Leonard has played in six of the Raptors’ eight games, sitting out for rest purposes in each, but he’s good to go tonight and will have a seemingly favorable matchup awaiting him. The Suns currently possess a defensive rating of 116.2, the 28th worst mark in the league this season. They’ve been an underwhelming defensive unit for a few years now, but they’re hoping their offseason addition of Trevor Ariza will help bring them back to a respectable spot on that side of the ball. Ariza’s been one of the best perimeter defenders in the league for a while now and should present some resistance when it comes to guarding Leonard.

Ariza’s presence may help slow Leonard a touch, but he’s not going to keep him under 20 points. This could be a game where Leonard ups his production in other areas because his scoring opportunities may be limited. The Raptors, for what it’s worth, are -11.0 favorites and there isn’t much doubt that they’ll get the win tonight.

Predicted stat-line: 26 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST

Kevin Durant

PTS 27.8 | REB 7.1 | AST: 6.2

Durant has been fairly quiet in his last two games, averaging 19.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 7.5 assists. In one of those outings he played just 28 minutes, so we can probably give him a pass there. The Warriors (8-1) will square-off against the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-4) tonight, a team that has been underwhelming to this point in the season, though, are coming off a big win over the Utah Jazz.

The Warriors are, unsurprisingly, listed as -11.0 favorites and will be tough to beat at home. The Wolves currently rank 27th in defensive rating, so it could be a long night for them if they don’t show any resistance. Wolves coach Tom Thibodeau can get creative with his lineups and put Jimmy Butler (who intends to play tonight) on Durant, something that would probably be beneficial for the Wolves given Butler’s defensive reputation, or he could risk it and put Wiggins on Durant. Either way, the Warriors have multiple different scoring options and it’s going to be a nightmare to guard.

Durant’s scoring, specifically, has been all over the place this season. Through nine games, he has a standard deviation of 8.8 points, which is quite significant. If he has Butler guarding him then it would be natural to expect a slight decline in numbers, however, the Warriors’ dominance could prove too much no matter the matchup.

Predicted stat-line: 29 PTS, 6 REB, 6 AST

Stephen Curry

PTS 33.0 | REB 5.0 | AST: 5.9

Curry has totaled at least 30 points in 6-of-9 games so far this season, and he’s coming off one of his more productive games across the board against the New Orleans Pelicans, where he finished with 37 points and nine assists on 12-of-20 shooting.

His assist numbers have been trending down since the 2013-14 season, but that makes sense given the talent that Golden State has been adding along the way and increased demand for the ball in general. However, his scoring has taken a major leap and he’s currently on track to set a career-high in points per game. It’s obviously early, and whether he can sustain 33 points per game is something to consider, but he’s been scorching hot and is coming into a favorable matchup against the Wolves.

Whether Wolves PG Jeff Teague plays tonight could influence Curry’s potential stat-line, but either way he should be able to continue his tear and lead the Warriors to another victory.

Predicted stat-line: 32 PTS, 4 REB, 6 AST

Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

Stokastic +

Premium Data and Tools
PREMIUM TOOLS
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims MLB
PREMIUM DATA
Projections
Top Stack %s
MLB Data Central
FREE DATA
SoRare MLB Rankings
DraftKings Night Owl
FANTASY CRUNCHER (ADD-ON)
MLB Lineup Study
COMMUNITY
MLB Discord Server
PREMIUM DATA
Projections
Ownership Projections
PREMIUM TOOLS
Fantasy Cruncher (ADD-ON)
NHL Lineup Study
COMMUNITY
NHL Discord Server
PREMIUM TOOLS
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims PGA
PREMIUM DATA
Ownership Projections
Top Golfers Tool
PGA Tournament Models
FANTASY CRUNCHER (ADD-ON)
PGA Lineup Study
COMMUNITY
PGA Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Drivers Tool
NASCAR Discord Server
NASCAR Fantasy Cruncher
USFL Projections
USFL Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Fighters Tool
MMA Discord Server
MMA Fantasy Cruncher
NFL Betting Tools
Stokastic Discord Server
Best Ball
Best Ball Rankings
Best Ball Stat Projections
Stokastic Discord Server
Season Long Fantasy (Coming Soon)

Premium Data

NBA Data Central

NBA DFS Projections

NBA DFS Boom/Bust Probability

NBA DFS Ownership: Night Slate

NBA DFS Ownership – Express Slates

Yahoo! NBA Ownership

FanDuel NBA DFS Ownership

NBA DFS Ownership – Main Slate

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics

Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.