The NBA trade deadline is fast approaching. Teams must complete all moves before Mar. 25 at 3:00 PM EDT, and that means surprise late-breaking moves could cause chaos for your NBA SuperDraft lineup. As a result, I have avoided the players who I think could miss tonight’s action due to deadline decisions.
If you haven’t heard of SuperDraft, it’s an innovative new way to play DFS. Instead of using a salary cap, players receive multipliers that inversely correspond to their value. For example, James Harden will come with a lower multiplier because he should play most of the game. In comparison, a rotational player like Jae Crowder will receive a higher multiplier to compensate for his limited minutes.
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Top Five Low-Multiplier Plays
Using Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals, here are the top five high-value players for your NBA SuperDraft lineup. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or below 1.40x.
Nikola Jokic (1.05x)
Jokic ranks fourth best in our rankings tonight, and he’ll play the Raptors in one of the evening’s higher-scoring games (223.5). The reeling Raptors are on a nine-game losing skid, and on Monday they handed the Rockets their first win since Feb. 4. Look for Jokic to exploit them in the paint this evening.
Luka Doncic (1x)
The Mavericks take on the Timberwolves this evening, and their game boasts the highest projected total (232). Because Doncic leads the NBA in usage rate among players with 100-plus minutes, you can expect him to do a ton of damage against Minnesota, even without a multiplier.
James Harden (1x)
Our projections are much higher on Harden than I am tonight, but he certainly deserves a spot in this article. He is projected for the most fantasy points tonight despite not having a multiplier. I am skeptical about how much run he will get after he played 40 minutes last night, but the Nets may need to lean on him if they want to keep things close against the team that leads the NBA.
Gordon Hayward (1.4x)
With LaMelo Ball sidelined, the Hornets will have to look elsewhere for offensive production. Hayward notched 27 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists in the first game without Ball. If he can continue playing at that level tonight, he should offer SuperDraft players a boatload of points at a multiplier this high.
De’Aaron Fox (1.3x)
The Hawks and Kings are projected for the slate’s second-highest total (231), and Fox scored 30% of Sacramento’s points the last time they faced Atlanta. His final stat line from that game (32 points, 7 rebounds, 6 assists) screams value at a multiplier this high.
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Top Five High-Multiplier Plays
I’ll also use Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals to identify the top five low-value players for tonight’s slate. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or above 1.60.
Ivica Zubac (1.75x)
I will continue to feature Zubac until SuperDraft adjusts his multiplier or Serge Ibaka returns. Zubac nearly double-doubled on Monday, as he ended the game with 12 points and 9 rebounds. He has averaged 12.8 points, 8 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game since Ibaka’s injury.
P.J. Washington (1.6x)
Our projections are high on Washington with Ball now out. He double-doubled in Charlotte’s last game — 10 points and 13 rebounds — and he even notched 5 assists. He also logged 40-plus minutes for just the second time this season, which suggests that he will see increased usage with Ball out. However, you should keep a close eye on Cody Zeller‘s status before tip-off, as his return could lead to a reduction in Washington’s minutes.
Mike Conley (1.6x)
The Nets have fared surprisingly well against opposing point guards, but Conley’s multiplier and projection are too high to ignore him this evening. The Jazz and Nets are tied with the Hawks and Kings for the slate’s second-highest total (231), and I suspect that we’ll see a healthy chunk of points and assists from Conley.
Derrick White (1.75x)
The Spurs and Clippers don’t have an attractive total (222), but the Clippers have underperformed against guards, and White’s multiplier makes him a good option to target their weakness.
Devonte’ Graham (1.65x)
I’ll mention one last Charlotte Hornet who benefits from Ball’s absence. Graham has returned to the starting lineup with the rookie sidelined, and even though he underperformed in his first game back, the Hornets may have wanted to give him a game to get re-acquainted with life in the starting five. I doubt any such limitations will be in place tonight, and he should return to the 14.5 points, 2.5 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game he had been averaging before his injury.
Five SuperDraft NBA Fade Picks
Here are some players that players do our projections say you should avoid when building your NBA SuperDraft lineup.
Chris Boucher (1.35x)
With the trade deadline bearing down on the Raptors, they will be playing distracted tonight. That doesn’t bode well for any of their players. With Boucher’s multiplier set this low, you cannot trust Boucher to put forth his best effort tonight — especially not against Jokic.
Coby White (1.65x)
White hasn’t played more than half an hour since Tomas Satoransky took over his spot in the starting lineup. He has averaged just 10 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists since then, which are all well below his season averages, yet his multiplier hasn’t fully corrected for the decrease in production.
Lou Williams (1.65x)
The Clippers are moving away from Williams. Despite the fact that they haven’t had Patrick Beverley since March 14, Williams has averaged just 8.4 points, 0.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game on 18.5 minutes. Reggie Jackson is ahead of him on the depth chart too.
John Collins (1.25x)
Collins is the worst-ranked active player with a multiplier set at 1.3x or above. His name has routinely come up in trade discussions, and even though he would like to stay in Atlanta, the Hawks may opt to move on from him instead of paying him even more money than they already offered.
DeMar DeRozan (1.3x)
I’m fading DeRozan against the Clippers because they give up the fewest fantasy points per game to forwards. You can find much better value elsewhere.
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