Tonight offers an interesting seven-game slate at SuperDraft. Every game featured has a projected point total above 220, so we can expect a lot of points — it’s just a question of identifying the players who will benefit most. Here’s a quick breakdown of the evening’s slate to help you build a winning NBA SuperDraft lineup.
If you haven’t heard of SuperDraft, it’s an innovative new way to play DFS. Instead of using a salary cap, players receive multipliers that inversely correspond to their value. For example, Stephen Curry will come with a lower multiplier because he should play most of the game. In comparison, a rotational player like Danuel House will receive a higher multiplier to compensate for his limited minutes.
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Top Five Low-Multiplier Plays
Using Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals, here are the top-five high-value players for your NBA SuperDraft lineup. For a player to qualify, they must have a multiplier at or below 1.35x.
Joel Embiid (1.15x)
Our projections love Embiid here, especially with a multiplier this far above 1x. He’s projected for the second-most base points and the second-most total fantasy points on this slate. The OddsShopper lines point to value too, as the game has the slate’s third-highest posted total (230).
Giannis Antetokounmpo (1x)
Despite not having a multiplier, Giannis should be a solid investment against the Thunder. Our projections rank him first in base points and third in total fantasy points here, and the Bucks will play in the game with the slate’s highest projected total (232).
Fred VanVleet (1.3x)
VanVleet will have to step up until Kyle Lowry can return. He didn’t look fantastic against the Bucks last night, but he should bounce back against Minnesota’s struggling defense on Friday.
Ben Simmons (1.3x)
Simmons should be in for a boatload of fantasy points in Philadelphia’s high-scoring battle against the Bulls — especially with this multiplier. He ranks as the sixth-best player on the slate, per our projections.
Zach LaVine (1.3x)
LaVine may not score as much as Embiid or Simmons, but he is another good option to target in this matchup. He has been on fire recently too, as he is averaging 35.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists over his last six appearances. He makes a fantastic start with his multiplier set this high.
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Top Five High-Multiplier Plays
I’ll also use Awesemo’s SuperDraft NBA Projections and OddsShopper’s projected point totals to identify the top five low-value players for tonight’s slate. Only players with multipliers at or above 1.65x will qualify.
Lou Williams (1.7x)
Our projections have Williams as the best player on tonight’s slate due to his multiplier. To be fair, our model currently expects Paul George and Kawhi Leonard to sit, so this may change as tip-off approaches. If Leonard plays, expect Williams’ projection to take a big hit.
Delon Wright (1.65x)
Our model loves Wright against the Grizzlies, as Memphis has struggled against opposing guards this season. Wright has gotten 30-plus minutes in his last six games, and he is averaging 16.8 points, 4.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists through that span. The game’s total is the lowest on the slate (220), but it’s still high enough to target a few high-multiplier options.
Norman Powell (1.75x)
Powell demolished the Bucks last night. He posted 29 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists in the 110-96 victory, leading the team in scoring. He should continue to get extra minutes until Lowry returns, which makes him an excellent option at a multiplier like this.
Mason Plumlee (1.7x)
Plumlee will continue to get extra run for the post-Blake Griffin Pistons. Plumlee triple-doubled against the Pelicans on Sunday, and he should have a strong showing against the Grizzlies here.
Saddiq Bey (1.9x)
Bey triple-doubled against the Celtics last Friday, and he has started the last two games for Detroit. Over those games, he has averaged 14 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists. That makes him a viable option at his sky-high multiplier.
Five SuperDraft NBA Fades
Here are some players that players do our projections say you should avoid when building your NBA SuperDraft lineup.
Robert Williams (1.75x)
Williams ranks as the worst player with a multiplier at 1.75x or above. He neither gets the minutes nor has the upside to justify a multiplier this low, and you can safely keep him out of your lineups.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker (1.8x)
We haven’t seen much from Alexander-Walker since the Lonzo Ball trade rumors broke. In fact, he has averaged just 11.5 minutes per game over his last five appearances — and that doesn’t count the three games in which he failed to play. Until he starts getting regular minutes again, you can safely fade Alexander-Walker.
Hamidou Diallo (1.45x)
Diallo’s multiplier has finally been adjusted to suit his role. Unfortunately, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back, it’s now far too low to justify using him in any lineup.
Eric Bledsoe (1.65x)
Our projections don’t expect much out of Bledsoe against a stingy Suns defense that permits the second-fewest made 3’s per game (11.2).
Daniel Theis (1.65x)
Theis missed Boston’s most recent game against the Hawks, and our projections don’t expect him to do enough to warrant space in your lineup at this multiplier.
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